Südtirol vs Juve Stabia: match statistics
Südtirol vs Juve Stabia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Südtirol played Juve Stabia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Südtirol: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Juve Stabia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Südtirol scores 1.00 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Juve Stabia scores 1.16 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Südtirol 54%, Juve Stabia 54%. Over 2.5: Südtirol 41%, Juve Stabia 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.32. Südtirol: 12.0 shots per match, Juve Stabia: 12.2.
Match halves
Südtirol: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.51. Juve Stabia: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.51.
Goals by minute
Südtirol: 46-60 (8 goals). Juve Stabia: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Juve Stabia appears the favorite: they sit 7th in the table versus Südtirol’s 15th and have 11 wins this season compared to the home side’s 8; in the last 5 matches the visitors have a 1-2-2 record (5 scored, 6 conceded), while Südtirol are 0-2-3 with a goal record of 3:12. Südtirol at home average 13.28 shots and have xG 1.53, but convert at only 8% and score 1.0 goal on average with 44% of home matches goalless, indicating finishing issues. Juve Stabia away average 10.22 shots, 3.72 on target and xG 1.15, with a 10% conversion rate and only 33% matches without scoring, so they are more efficient in chance conversion. Both teams have similar expected chances against (average xG against 1.43), but seasonally Südtirol concedes 1.11 goals at home versus Juve Stabia’s 1.61 conceded away; however the hosts’ last 5 matches with 12 goals conceded (2.4 per game) signal a clear drop in defensive form. Considering the better league position, higher finishing efficiency (10% vs 8%) and more points on average in the last 5 (1.0 vs 0.4), I tip a Juve Stabia win, although Südtirol’s higher home xG (1.53) suggests the match could be tight and a draw is not excluded.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams show a strong scoring signal recently: each has 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, while the league BTTS is 54%. Juve Stabia posts a season BTTS of 61% and a season average goals conceded of 1.61 (xG against 1.43), indicating susceptibility to conceding, while Südtirol, despite a season BTTS of 47%, conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 on average). xG metrics indicate both sides create chances: Südtirol’s attacking xG is 1.49 versus Juve Stabia’s xG against 1.43 (+0.06), whereas Juve Stabia’s attacking xG is 1.15 versus Südtirol’s xG against 1.06 (+0.09). The counterpoint is Südtirol has 47% clean sheets this season and averages 1.32 goals scored, and Juve Stabia has 33% of matches without scoring, but recent form (Südtirol 3 scored and 12 conceded in 5; Juve Stabia 5 scored and 6 conceded) increases the likelihood of BTTS. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 66% versus 34% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a clear edge for the Over option, particularly on the 1.5 line: Südtirol have 63% of home matches with over 1.5 goals, while Juve Stabia have 83% of away matches exceeding 1.5. A model combining xG (1.49 for Südtirol and 1.15 for Juve Stabia) with opponents’ defensive data (Juve Stabia concedes xG 1.43, Südtirol 1.06) forecasts 1.46 goals for the home side and 1.11 for the visitors, totaling 2.57 goals. In the last 5 matches Südtirol have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Juve Stabia have scored an average of 1.0 goal, further increasing the probability of at least two goals in the fixture. Seasonal Over2.5 rates are 32% (Südtirol) and 56% (Juve Stabia), and Over3.5 is rare (21% and 28%), so the strongest signal from the data is to target Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Südtirol led at the break in 47% of their home matches and average 0.68 goals in the first half while conceding only 0.26, keeping a clean sheet at half-time in 79% of games, which strongly argues for the home side leading after 45 minutes. The home advantage persists across the full match: season xG for Südtirol is 1.49 versus 1.15 for Juve Stabia, average goals scored 1.32 vs 1.00 and home points per game 1.74 vs 0.94, so the hosts clearly have better creation and efficiency metrics. Additionally, after the break Südtirol score on average 0.63 goals while Juve Stabia concede 1.00 goal on average in second halves, suggesting a half-time lead can be maintained and turned into a win. However, note the recent form: the last five home matches read ‘ddlll’, and in those five games Südtirol led at the break in 0% of cases and were losing at half-time in 80%, which adds risk of deviation from the seasonal trend. As a result I assign the highest weight to the 1/1 scenario (Südtirol leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) at 26% probability, while still allocating significant weights to 1/X (19%) and X/X (20%) due to the high seasonal share of half-time draws for the hosts (47%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juve Stabia is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Südtirol · 1 pts / match - Juve Stabia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juve Stabia is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.16 goals / match - Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.19 goals / match - Juve Stabia
Südtirol scores in 62% of matches (23 of 37 matches), while Juve Stabia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Juve Stabia scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Juve Stabia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juve Stabia is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Südtirol · 1.54 pts / match - Juve Stabia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juve Stabia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Südtirol
Juve Stabia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Südtirol 0 - 0 - 1 Juve Stabia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Juve Stabia?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 1:1 Juve Stabia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Juve Stabia?
Südtirol score 1.00 goals per game on average and Juve Stabia 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Südtirol's matches and 54% of Juve Stabia's.
What form are Südtirol and Juve Stabia in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Juve Stabia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Juve Stabia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Südtirol vs Juve Stabia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.