Südtirol vs Spezia: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Südtirol has poor home form with only 25% home wins and a 50% loss rate, though their last five matches overall show stabilization with three draws. Spezia presents better recent form (1.8 points per match in the last 5 games versus Südtirol's 0.6) but also struggles on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins. A key factor is Südtirol's high draw percentage (56% overall) and the fact that both teams share similar xG and efficiency statistics. Spezia fails to score less often away (25% FTS) compared to Südtirol at home (50% FTS), giving the visitors a slight edge, but the general balance of power makes a draw the most probable outcome of this encounter.
Südtirol vs Spezia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Südtirol played Spezia in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Südtirol: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Spezia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Südtirol scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Spezia scores 0.94 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Südtirol 61%, Spezia 56%. Over 2.5: Südtirol 28%, Spezia 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.22. Südtirol: 12.5 shots per match, Spezia: 10.1.
Match halves
Südtirol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39. Spezia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Südtirol: 31-45+ (4 goals). Spezia: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Südtirol has poor home form with only 25% home wins and a 50% loss rate, though their last five matches overall show stabilization with three draws. Spezia presents better recent form (1.8 points per match in the last 5 games versus Südtirol's 0.6) but also struggles on the road with 50% losses and only 25% wins. A key factor is Südtirol's high draw percentage (56% overall) and the fact that both teams share similar xG and efficiency statistics. Spezia fails to score less often away (25% FTS) compared to Südtirol at home (50% FTS), giving the visitors a slight edge, but the general balance of power makes a draw the most probable outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Spezia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Südtirol · 1.8 pts / match - Spezia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Spezia is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Südtirol · 0.94 goals / match - Spezia
Südtirol is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.39 goals / match - Spezia
Südtirol scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Spezia scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Spezia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Südtirol · 0.94 pts / match - Spezia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Südtirol
Spezia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Spezia?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 2:1 Spezia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Spezia?
Südtirol score 0.89 goals per game on average and Spezia 0.94. The Serie B average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Südtirol's matches and 56% of Spezia's.
What form are Südtirol and Spezia in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Spezia 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Spezia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.