Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai: match statistics
Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sūduva played FA Šiauliai in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 16 June 2026. Venue: Marijampoles sporto centro stadione. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sūduva: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. FA Šiauliai: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sūduva scores 1.35 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. FA Šiauliai scores 1.00 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sūduva 47%, FA Šiauliai 53%. Over 2.5: Sūduva 41%, FA Šiauliai 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sūduva has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.38. Sūduva: 12.2 shots per match, FA Šiauliai: 11.3.
Match halves
Sūduva: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. FA Šiauliai: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Sūduva: 76-90+ (8 goals). FA Šiauliai: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sūduva (4th) are the favorites against FA Šiauliai (9th) and I predict a home win. Defensive metrics favor Sūduva: they concede only 0.44 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 67% of home games, while Šiauliai concede 1.4 goals on average away and have just a 20% clean sheet rate. Offensively Sūduva score 1.56 goals per home match (23 goals this season, 8 in the last 5) with a 13% shot conversion, whereas Šiauliai record 1.0 goals away (17 goals this season, 6 in the last 5) and only an 8% conversion. Form also points to Sūduva: the hosts average 1.8 points in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), while the visitors average 0.6 points with 0 wins in their last 5 (0-3-2); additionally Šiauliai draw 70% of their away fixtures. xG shows similar offensive potential (1.44 vs 1.42), but Šiauliai have a much higher xG against on the road (1.78 vs 1.32 for the hosts) and Sūduva’s superior finishing leads me to assess chances as 60% home win, 30% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary case for BTTS is FA Šiauliai: they have a seasonal BTTS rate of 70% and 80% in the last 5 matches, meaning both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches and in 4 of the last 5. Sūduva has a low seasonal BTTS of 29%, but that has risen to 60% in the last 5 matches; the home side averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 0.8 in those five, indicating a trend shift. Both teams create chances: xG 1.32 for Sūduva versus 1.42 for Šiauliai, with xG against 1.46 and 1.78 and average shots on target 3.86 and 4.7, which favors goals on both ends. Clean sheets are also rare (29% hosts, 20% away), and the league average BTTS is 49%, so the balance of signals supports Goal/Goal. Based on this, the best pick is BTTS - Yes with a probability of 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, the combined expected goals total is about 2.99: home ~1.55 (attack xG 1.32 and opponent xG against 1.78 → (1.32+1.78)/2 = 1.55), away ~1.44 ((1.42+1.46)/2 = 1.44). At this xG total, estimates indicate probability for Over 1.5 goals of about 80% (2+ goals ≈80%), Over 2.5 about 58% (3+ goals ≈58%), and Over 3.5 about 35% (4+ goals ≈35%). Seasonal stats support this: Sūduva have 86% of matches with more than 1.5 goals, FA Šiauliai 70%; for >2.5 Sūduva record 57% while Šiauliai 30% (league average for >2.5 is 52%). In the last 5 matches the home side averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, the away side scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6; shots on target averages are 3.86 (home) vs 4.70 (away), and conversion rate is 10% vs 8%, which further supports goal expectation. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (estimated ≈80%), Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~58%), and Over 3.5 is risky (~35%), with a recommendation to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics favor FA Šiauliai: Sūduva trailed at the break in 71% of matches, hosts average only 0.14 goals scored by half-time versus 1.14 conceded, while Šiauliai average 0.3 goals by half-time. Nevertheless, the full-time outcome favors Sūduva – the hosts have won 57% of matches this season, and in the second half they score on average 0.86 goals compared to 0.7 for Šiauliai, which supports a turnaround. In the last five matches Sūduva averages 1.8 points per match versus 0.6 for the visitors, and Šiauliai have no wins in their last five appearances (0%), reinforcing the home comeback scenario. xG shows similar chance creation (xG 1.32 for Sūduva vs 1.42 for Šiauliai), but Šiauliai have higher xG against (1.78 vs 1.46), meaning they more often concede scoring opportunities; therefore the strongest signal is a Šiauliai lead at the break and a Sūduva win after the break (HT/FT 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sūduva | FA Šiauliai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sūduva is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sūduva · 1.2 pts / match - FA Šiauliai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sūduva is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Sūduva · 1 goals / match - FA Šiauliai
Sūduva is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Sūduva · 1.59 goals / match - FA Šiauliai
Sūduva scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while FA Šiauliai keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
FA Šiauliai scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Sūduva keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sūduva
Over / Under - FA Šiauliai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sūduva is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Sūduva · 0.71 pts / match - FA Šiauliai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sūduva - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FA Šiauliai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sūduva
FA Šiauliai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Sūduva | Liga | FA Šiauliai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.61 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Sūduva 0 - 4 - 2 FA Šiauliai. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai?
The A Lyga match finished Sūduva 2:1 FA Šiauliai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sūduva and FA Šiauliai?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Sūduva won 0, FA Šiauliai won 2 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai?
Sūduva score 1.35 goals per game on average and FA Šiauliai 1.00. The A Lyga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Sūduva's matches and 53% of FA Šiauliai's.
What form are Sūduva and FA Šiauliai in?
Over the last 5 games Sūduva have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and FA Šiauliai 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai?
The statistical background for Sūduva vs FA Šiauliai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.