Sūduva vs Panevėžys: match statistics
Sūduva vs Panevėžys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sūduva play Panevėžys in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 13:15. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sūduva: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Panevėžys: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sūduva scores 1.55 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Panevėžys scores 0.95 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sūduva 55%, Panevėžys 57%. Over 2.5: Sūduva 50%, Panevėžys 62%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sūduva has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.26. Sūduva: 12.2 shots per match, Panevėžys: 11.0.
Match halves
Sūduva: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91. Panevėžys: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Sūduva: 76-90+ (11 goals). Panevėžys: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-3-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Sūduva is the clear favorite in this fixture: at home they average 2.0 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, with an 80% clean sheet rate and 60% home win rate, whereas Panevėžys average 1.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. In terms of chance quality the hosts generate 1.56 xG at home and average 12.6 shots (4.4 on target) with a 16% conversion rate, while the visitors have 1.03 xG away, 8.2 shots (3.4 on target) and a 12% conversion. In the last 5 matches Sūduva scored 10 goals (record 2-2-1, PPG 1.6), whereas Panevėžys have 6 goals in their last 5 (3-0-2, PPG 1.8), but the visitors suffer 60% defeats away and only 20% clean sheets. The defensive gap is decisive: Sūduva concede 1.27 xG against at home and an average of 0.4 goals conceded, while Panevėžys register 2.07 xG against and 2.4 goals conceded on the road, indicating a high probability the hosts will capitalize on their chances. Considering these figures, the hosts’ superiority in chance creation and home defensive stability, I predict a Sūduva victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sūduva | Panevėžys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sūduva is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Sūduva · 0.8 pts / match - Panevėžys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sūduva is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Sūduva · 0.95 goals / match - Panevėžys
Sūduva is 135% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Sūduva · 1.81 goals / match - Panevėžys
Sūduva scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Panevėžys scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Sūduva keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sūduva
Over / Under — Panevėžys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sūduva is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Sūduva · 1.24 pts / match - Panevėžys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sūduva - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Panevėžys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sūduva
Panevėžys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Sūduva | Liga | Panevėžys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Sūduva 2 - 3 - 1 Panevėžys. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sūduva vs Panevėžys?
The A Lyga match finished Sūduva 1:0 Panevėžys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sūduva and Panevėžys?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Sūduva won 2, Panevėžys won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sūduva vs Panevėžys?
Sūduva score 1.55 goals per game on average and Panevėžys 0.95. The A Lyga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sūduva's matches and 57% of Panevėžys's.
What form are Sūduva and Panevėžys in?
Over the last 5 games Sūduva have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Panevėžys 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sūduva vs Panevėžys?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.