Sukhothai vs Rayong: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest favoring a draw. Sukhothai shows poor form in the last 5 matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), but performs better at home with 33% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium. Rayong is also in poor shape (0.8 points per match in the last 5 games) and wins only 18% of away matches with a 45% loss rate. Both teams are characterized by similar xG values (1.35 vs 1.36) and average scoring efficiency. Considering the high draw rates for both teams (50% for Sukhothai at home, 36% for Rayong away) and current form, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points.
Sukhothai vs Rayong: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sukhothai played Rayong in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sukhothai: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Rayong: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sukhothai scores 0.73 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Rayong scores 1.52 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sukhothai 50%, Rayong 71%. Over 2.5: Sukhothai 36%, Rayong 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Rayong has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.25. Sukhothai: 11.8 shots per match, Rayong: 14.8.
Match halves
Sukhothai: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55. Rayong: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Sukhothai: 76-90+ (6 goals). Rayong: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest favoring a draw. Sukhothai shows poor form in the last 5 matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per match), but performs better at home with 33% wins and only 17% losses at their own stadium. Rayong is also in poor shape (0.8 points per match in the last 5 games) and wins only 18% of away matches with a 45% loss rate. Both teams are characterized by similar xG values (1.35 vs 1.36) and average scoring efficiency. Considering the high draw rates for both teams (50% for Sukhothai at home, 36% for Rayong away) and current form, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sukhothai | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rayong is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sukhothai · 0.8 pts / match - Rayong
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayong is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Sukhothai · 1.52 goals / match - Rayong
Rayong is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Sukhothai · 1.38 goals / match - Rayong
Sukhothai scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Rayong keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Rayong scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Sukhothai keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sukhothai
Over / Under - Rayong
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rayong is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Sukhothai · 1 pts / match - Rayong
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sukhothai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rayong - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sukhothai
Rayong
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Sukhothai | Liga | Rayong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.74 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 41% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sukhothai 0 - 0 - 1 Rayong. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sukhothai vs Rayong?
The Thai League T1 match finished Sukhothai 2:1 Rayong. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sukhothai vs Rayong?
Sukhothai score 0.73 goals per game on average and Rayong 1.52. The Thai League T1 average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sukhothai's matches and 71% of Rayong's.
What form are Sukhothai and Rayong in?
Over the last 5 games Sukhothai have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Rayong 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sukhothai vs Rayong?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.