Sumqayıt vs Qabala: match statistics
Sumqayıt vs Qabala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sumqayıt played Qabala in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Kapital Bank Arena. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Sumqayıt: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Qabala: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sumqayıt scores 0.80 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Qabala scores 0.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sumqayıt 80%, Qabala 17%. Over 2.5: Sumqayıt 40%, Qabala 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Sumqayıt has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.17. Sumqayıt: 9.6 shots per match, Qabala: 10.3.
Match halves
Sumqayıt: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Qabala: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Sumqayıt: 0-15 (1 goals). Qabala: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sumqayıt have not won any of their five matches this season, but they create more chances at home than Qabala do away: their average xG is 1.34, compared with their opponents’ 0.98. The visitors have lost both of their away matches so far without scoring, averaging just 2 shots on target per game. The hosts also have a finishing problem, scoring an average of 0.67 goals at home, but Qabala’s defence allows opponents chances worth an average of 0.99 xG, making a breakthrough a realistic possibility. Sumqayıt’s biggest concern is their own defence, which concedes an average of 1.67 goals at home and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Both teams’ low scoring rates make a draw likely, but Qabala’s weakness in attack away from home gives the hosts a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is their scoring record in the relevant conditions: Sumqayıt have failed to score in 75% of their home matches, while Qabala have failed to score in 100% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 0.5 goals at home, while the visitors have yet to score away from home, making it difficult to expect both sides to find the net in the same match. Across their last five appearances, the teams have averaged 0.8 and 0.4 goals respectively, also pointing to limited attacking potential. Some counterweight comes from average xG figures of 1.26 for the hosts and 0.98 for the visitors, as well as the fact that both teams scored in 80% of Sumqayıt’s last five matches. Even so, Qabala’s lack of goals away from home and the fact that both teams scored in just 25% of Sumqayıt’s home matches support the BTTS - No pick: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: all previous matches between the two teams in the analyzed fixtures finished below this line. Sumqayıt average 0.5 goals at home, while Qabala are yet to score away, although their average xG figures are 1.26 and 0.98 respectively, so I would not assume there will be no chances at all. Across their last 5 matches, the teams averaged 0.8 and 0.4 goals, and the 2.5-goal line was exceeded 40% of the time by each. The forecast of 1.90 total goals also supports Under 2.5 goals, but the 3.5 line offers a significantly higher probability of success given the uncertainty reflected in the xG figures.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Sumqayıt were level at the break in 75% of their home matches, while Qabala did so in 80% of their last five games. Both teams have struggled to score — the hosts failed to find the net in 75% of their home matches, and the visitors have yet to score in any of their away games so far. Few goals are also expected after the break, as Sumqayıt average 0.25 goals in the second half at home, while Qabala average 0 away. The hosts’ higher xG, 1.26 compared with the visitors’ 0.98, gives them a chance of a late win, but given the poor finishing, a draw at half-time and at full-time remains a marginally stronger scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sumqayıt | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Qabala is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 0.8 pts / match - Qabala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumqayıt is 142% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 0.33 goals / match - Qabala
Qabala is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 1.17 goals / match - Qabala
Sumqayıt scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Qabala scores in 17% of matches (1 of 6 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sumqayıt
Over / Under - Qabala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sumqayıt is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 0.67 pts / match - Qabala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Qabala - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sumqayıt
Qabala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Sumqayıt | Liga | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.40 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 43% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 34% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Sumqayıt 2 - 1 - 0 Qabala. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Sumqayıt 4:1 Qabala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sumqayıt and Qabala?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sumqayıt won 2, Qabala won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt score 0.80 goals per game on average and Qabala 0.33. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Sumqayıt's matches and 17% of Qabala's.
What form are Sumqayıt and Qabala in?
Over the last 5 games Sumqayıt have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Qabala 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.