Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sumqayıt played Qarabağ in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 21 November 2025. Final score: 2:4.

Current form

Sumqayıt: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Qarabağ: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sumqayıt scores 1.36 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Qarabağ scores 1.70 and concedes 0.30. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sumqayıt 36%, Qarabağ 20%. Over 2.5: Sumqayıt 36%, Qarabağ 20%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Qarabağ has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.26. Sumqayıt: 9.6 shots per match, Qarabağ: 16.1.

Match halves

Sumqayıt: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.82. Qarabağ: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Sumqayıt: 61-75 (4 goals). Qarabağ: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
SumqayıtQarabağ
13Shots13
SumqayıtQarabağ
4Shots on target10
SumqayıtQarabağ
1.53xG2.11
SumqayıtQarabağ
5Corners7
SumqayıtQarabağ
61Dangerous attacks81
SumqayıtQarabağ
9Fouls17
SumqayıtQarabağ
3Cards3
SumqayıtQarabağ

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.36Goals scored / match1.7
SumqayıtQarabağ
1.09Goals conceded / match0.3
SumqayıtQarabağ
49%Average possession67%
SumqayıtQarabağ
3.36Shots on target / match5.2
SumqayıtQarabağ

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.55Shots per match16.1
SumqayıtQarabağ
3.36Shots on target5.2
SumqayıtQarabağ
14.3%Shot conversion10.6%
SumqayıtQarabağ
49%Possession67%
SumqayıtQarabağ
1.26xG for1.99
SumqayıtQarabağ
1.34xG against0.76
SumqayıtQarabağ

Shooting quality

Sumqayıt: Efficient finishingQarabağ: Dominant
SumqayıtQarabağ
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Qarabağ is 44% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 2.6 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sumqayıt
LWLWW
Season result split
45% W18% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Qarabağ
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
70% W20% R10% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-1
2.30 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qarabağ is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 1.7 goals / match - Qarabağ

Qarabağ is 263% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Sumqayıt · 0.3 goals / match - Qarabağ

Sumqayıt scoring profile: more difficult

Sumqayıt scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 70% (7 of 10 matches).

Qarabağ scoring profile: very strong

Qarabağ scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

15Goals scored (season)17
SumqayıtQarabağ
12Goals conceded (season)3
SumqayıtQarabağ
2.45Average goals in match2
SumqayıtQarabağ
9Goals scored (last 5)7
SumqayıtQarabağ
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
SumqayıtQarabağ

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal80%
SumqayıtQarabağ
36%2 goals60%
SumqayıtQarabağ
27%3 goals10%
SumqayıtQarabağ
9%4 goals10%
SumqayıtQarabağ

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal30%
SumqayıtQarabağ
27%2 goals0%
SumqayıtQarabağ
9%3 goals0%
SumqayıtQarabağ
0%4 goals0%
SumqayıtQarabağ

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time0%
SumqayıtQarabağ
9%BTTS in both halves0%
SumqayıtQarabağ
18%Scored in both halves30%
SumqayıtQarabağ

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS10%
SumqayıtQarabağ
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
SumqayıtQarabağ
40%BTTS - last 520%
SumqayıtQarabağ

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
SumqayıtQarabağ
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
SumqayıtQarabağ
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SumqayıtQarabağ

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
SumqayıtQarabağ
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
SumqayıtQarabağ
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
SumqayıtQarabağ

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qarabağ is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Sumqayıt · 1.6 pts / match - Qarabağ

Sumqayıt - half-time state
9% leading73% draw18% trailing
Qarabağ - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.6
SumqayıtQarabağ
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.5
SumqayıtQarabağ
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
SumqayıtQarabağ
1Average goals (1st half)0.7
SumqayıtQarabağ
55%Clean sheet before half-time80%
SumqayıtQarabağ
64%No goal before half-time60%
SumqayıtQarabağ

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per match (2nd half)2.3
SumqayıtQarabağ
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
SumqayıtQarabağ
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.1
SumqayıtQarabağ
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.3
SumqayıtQarabağ
55%Clean sheet after half-time90%
SumqayıtQarabağ
55%No goal after half-time30%
SumqayıtQarabağ

Sumqayıt - second-half results

36% W36% R27% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding500%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Qarabağ - second-half results

70% W20% R10% P
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sumqayıt - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Qarabağ - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sumqayıt
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
28%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sumqayıt

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
24%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

SumqayıtLigaQarabağ
Average goals in match 2.452.48 2.00
Both teams scored 36%44% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%47% 20%
Clean sheets 27%32% 70%
Goal before half-time 55%67% 60%
Goal after half-time 73%76% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QarabağYellow cardMatheus de Barros
  2. QarabağYellow cardEmmanuel Addai
  3. SumqayıtYellow cardRayan Senhadji
  4. QarabağYellow cardKevin David Medina Renteria
  5. QarabağGoalToral Bayramov
  6. SumqayıtYellow cardRayan Senhadji
  7. QarabağGoalAbdellah Zoubir
  8. SumqayıtYellow cardPedro Manuel Mota Pinto
  9. SumqayıtSubstitutionOn: Rauf RustamliOff: Səbuhi Abdullazadə
  10. SumqayıtGoalNsana Simon

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sumqayıt 1 - 0 - 0 Qarabağ. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Qarabağ Ağdam FK
0 : 1
FK Sumqayıt

FAQ

What was the result of Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Sumqayıt 2:4 Qarabağ. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?

Sumqayıt score 1.36 goals per game on average and Qarabağ 1.70. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Sumqayıt's matches and 20% of Qarabağ's.

What form are Sumqayıt and Qarabağ in?

Over the last 5 games Sumqayıt have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Qarabağ 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.