Sumsel United vs Persikad: match statistics
Sumsel United vs Persikad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sumsel United played Persikad in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sumsel United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Persikad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sumsel United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Persikad scores 1.38 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sumsel United 58%, Persikad 58%. Over 2.5: Sumsel United 50%, Persikad 63%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Sumsel United has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.17. Sumsel United: 8.7 shots per match, Persikad: 8.7.
Match halves
Sumsel United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Persikad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Sumsel United: 76-90+ (13 goals). Persikad: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 2: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sumsel United has a clear home advantage: they win 67% of home matches, have a +11 goal differential, average 1.83 goals scored and concede only 0.92 goals per game. Their home xG is 1.33 versus opponent xG 0.99, and an average of 4.83 shots on target with a 19% conversion rate indicates offensive efficiency. Persikad away wins rate is only 33%, goal differential -5, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.75 goals per game with xG 1.05 versus opponent xG 1.45, highlighting defensive issues. Additionally, visitors fail to score in 17% of away matches versus 8% for hosts, average 3.5 shots on target away and just 17% clean sheets, reducing their chances of turning the game around. Considering similar recent form (both average 1.4 points per match over the last 5 games) but the hosts’ defensive solidity and efficiency edge, I forecast a Sumsel United win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Persikad has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% and BTTS in the last 5 matches was 100%, while Sumsel United have 42% seasonally and 40% in their last 5. The visitors average 1.33 goals scored per season and concede 1.75; in their last 5 matches they scored 2.2 and conceded 2.0 on average, indicating their games regularly produce goals from both sides. The hosts have season xG of 1.3 versus xG against 1.17, score 1.42 goals on average and concede 1.5; in the last 5 their xG is 1.05 with xG against 0.98, so they also create chances and are not defensively solid. Clean sheets occur for Sumsel in 25% of matches and for Persikad in 17%; the league BTTS level is 48% and the league goals average is 2.68. Additionally, 75% of Persikad’s matches end over 2.5 goals and 67% of their matches combine over 2.5 and BTTS, which reinforces the both-teams-to-score scenario. Considering these numbers, especially the visitors’ 100% BTTS in their last 5 and their 2.0 goals conceded on average in those games, I rate BTTS 'Yes' at 75% versus 25% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I assess expected xG at 1.38 for Sumsel United and 1.11 for Persikad (total 2.49), calculated as the average of team xG for and opponent xG against: 1.30 vs 1.45 for the home side and 1.05 vs 1.17 for the away side. This season 67% of Sumsel matches and 83% of Persikad matches finished over 1.5 goals (season average ~75%), which provides the strongest signal for Over 1.5 and justifies a high forecast of 80%. Persikad have averaged 2.2 goals in their last 5 matches with 100% of those fixtures over 2.5 goals, while Sumsel average 1.4 goals in their last 5; these figures increase the probability of Over 2.5 to ~56% in my assessment. At the same time the total xG of 2.49 and season over-3.5 rates of 42% (home) and 33% (away) indicate Over 3.5 is less certain (I rate it 36%), therefore the best pick from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most likely — draws account for 42% of half-time results in the combined statistics of both teams. After the break I favour the hosts: Sumsel United has superior second-half metrics — they average 1.5 points in the second half versus 1.0 for Persikad and win the second half in 42% of matches compared to 17% for the visitors. Additionally, Sumsel creates more chances and has better xG (1.30 vs 1.05) and more shots (9.82 vs 8.5), and by half-time this season they have scored 17 goals versus Persikad’s 15, which supports them in the decisive phase of the match. Persikad, however, has shown offensive potential in recent fixtures — 2.2 goals on average in the last 5 matches and 4 goals in the 0–15 minute period this season — so I do not rule out the visitors leading at the break or winning. In summary, the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a home win after the break (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sumsel United | Persikad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumsel United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Sumsel United · 1.38 goals / match - Persikad
Sumsel United is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Sumsel United · 1.63 goals / match - Persikad
Sumsel United scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Persikad keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Persikad scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Sumsel United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sumsel United
Over / Under - Persikad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sumsel United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Persikad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sumsel United
Persikad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).
Teams vs league
| Sumsel United | Liga | Persikad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.71 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sumsel United 2 - 0 - 0 Persikad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sumsel United vs Persikad?
The Liga 2 match finished Sumsel United 1:1 Persikad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sumsel United and Persikad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sumsel United won 2, Persikad won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sumsel United vs Persikad?
Sumsel United score 1.50 goals per game on average and Persikad 1.38. The Liga 2 average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Sumsel United's matches and 58% of Persikad's.
What form are Sumsel United and Persikad in?
Over the last 5 games Sumsel United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Persikad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumsel United vs Persikad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.