Sumsel United vs PSMS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sumsel United played PSMS in Liga 2 (Indonesia). The match was played on 24 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Sumsel United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. PSMS: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sumsel United scores 1.27 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. PSMS scores 1.18 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sumsel United 55%, PSMS 55%. Over 2.5: Sumsel United 36%, PSMS 18%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

PSMS has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Sumsel United: 8.4 shots per match, PSMS: 7.9.

Match halves

Sumsel United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. PSMS: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Sumsel United: 76-90+ (7 goals). PSMS: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 2: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
11Shots5
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
6Shots on target4
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.59xG0.81
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
7Corners0
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
65Dangerous attacks26
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
13Fouls15
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1Cards4
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.27Goals scored / match1.18
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.18Goals conceded / match1.09
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
48%Average possession35%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
3.91Shots on target / match3.55
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.36Shots per match7.91
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
3.91Shots on target3.55
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
15.2%Shot conversion14.9%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
48%Possession35%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.25xG for1.32
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.5xG against1.36
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Shooting quality

Sumsel United: Efficient finishingPSMS: Counter-attacking
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
Accuracy (shots on target)47%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sumsel United is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Sumsel United · 1 pts / match - PSMS

Sumsel United
LDWWL
Season result split
45% W18% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
PSMS
WLLDD
Season result split
27% W45% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-3
1.27 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sumsel United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.27 goals / match - Sumsel United · 1.18 goals / match - PSMS

PSMS is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Sumsel United · 1.09 goals / match - PSMS

Sumsel United scoring profile: very strong

Sumsel United scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while PSMS keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

PSMS scoring profile: very strong

PSMS scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Sumsel United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

14Goals scored (season)13
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
13Goals conceded (season)12
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
2.45Average goals in match2.27
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal73%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
27%2 goals27%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
18%3 goals18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0%4 goals0%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal82%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
36%2 goals18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
9%3 goals9%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0%4 goals0%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
9%BTTS in both halves9%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
18%Scored in both halves27%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
80%BTTS - last 540%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PSMS is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Sumsel United · 1.64 pts / match - PSMS

Sumsel United - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing
PSMS - half-time state
36% leading55% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.64
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.09Average goals (1st half)0.82
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
45%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
55%No goal before half-time45%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
55%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS
45%No goal after half-time55%
Sumsel UnitedPSMS

Sumsel United - second-half results

45% W27% R27% P
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

PSMS - second-half results

18% W45% R36% P
18
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sumsel United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
PSMS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sumsel United
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
4
31-45
0
4
46-60
1
1
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

PSMS
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sumsel United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

PSMS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 2).

Teams vs league

Sumsel UnitedLigaPSMS
Average goals in match 2.452.57 2.27
Both teams scored 55%46% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%43% 18%
Clean sheets 27%30% 18%
Goal before half-time 82%70% 64%
Goal after half-time 82%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PSMSAssistReky Rahayu
  2. PSMSRed cardFelipe Cadenazzi
  3. PSMSSubstitutionOn: Nazar NurzaidinOff: Bhudiar Riza
  4. Sumsel UnitedGoalRachmad Hidayat
  5. PSMSSubstitutionOn: Arif SetiawanOff: Saddam Tenang
  6. Sumsel UnitedYellow cardKurniawan Karman
  7. Sumsel UnitedSubstitutionOn: Bayu Gatra SanggiawanOff: Kahar Muzakkar
  8. PSMSYellow cardRisman Ariyanto Maring

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sumsel United 0 - 0 - 1 PSMS. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

PSMS
2 : 0
Sumsel United

FAQ

What was the result of Sumsel United vs PSMS?

The Liga 2 match finished Sumsel United 2:1 PSMS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sumsel United vs PSMS?

Sumsel United score 1.27 goals per game on average and PSMS 1.18. The Liga 2 average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Sumsel United's matches and 55% of PSMS's.

What form are Sumsel United and PSMS in?

Over the last 5 games Sumsel United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PSMS 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sumsel United vs PSMS?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.