Sunderland vs Chelsea: match statistics
Sunderland vs Chelsea: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sunderland played Chelsea in Premier League (England). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Stadium of Light. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sunderland: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chelsea: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sunderland scores 1.08 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Chelsea scores 1.54 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sunderland 46%, Chelsea 62%. Over 2.5: Sunderland 43%, Chelsea 65%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Chelsea has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.20. Sunderland: 10.1 shots per match, Chelsea: 13.5.
Match halves
Sunderland: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.76. Chelsea: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Sunderland: 76-90+ (13 goals). Chelsea: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2). Chelsea hold a clear offensive edge: 57 goals this season and 1.72 goals per away match, while Sunderland have 40 goals and 1.28 per home game; Chelsea’s away xG is 1.41 versus Sunderland’s home xG of 1.32. The quality gap is reflected in shooting and conversion metrics — Chelsea average 4.61 shots on target away with a 15% conversion rate, Sunderland 3.5 shots on target and 11% conversion. Form and recent defensive records also favor Chelsea: Sunderland are 1-2-2 in their last 5 with 11 goals conceded (2.2 per game), Chelsea are 2-1-2 and have conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game); average points over those five matches are 1.0 for Sunderland and 1.4 for Chelsea. Although Sunderland boast 44% home wins and 39% clean sheets at home, and Chelsea have 39% away wins and only 22% away clean sheets, the superior chance creation and higher possession (57% vs 46%) lead me to side with the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS as more likely — 75% vs 25% — because season-long BTTS rates are 58% for Sunderland and 67% for Chelsea (average 62%), compared with a league average of 56%. Sunderland at home scores 1.37 and concedes 1.32, while Chelsea away scores 1.72 and concedes 1.39, indicating both teams regularly create and allow goal-scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches both sides recorded BTTS in 60%: Sunderland scored 7 and conceded 11 (1.4 vs 2.2), Chelsea 5 and 6 (1.0 vs 1.2), highlighting Sunderland’s particularly vulnerable defense. xG analysis supports these observations — xG_for 1.70 (Sunderland) vs 1.41 (Chelsea) and xG_against 1.20 vs 1.37 indicate both teams generate and concede meaningful chances; clean sheets occur in only 26% and 22% of matches, reducing the likelihood of a No Goal. Considering seasonal and recent trends and the quality of created chances, the strongest signal is BTTS "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis yields a combined expected 2.84 goals: Sunderland’s attacking xG is 1.70 versus Chelsea’s defensive xG of 1.37 (≈1.54 expected home goals), while Chelsea’s attacking xG is 1.41 versus Sunderland’s defensive xG of 1.20 (≈1.30 expected away goals). Season-long data supports a goal-prone trend — Over 1.5 occurred in 84% of Sunderland’s matches and 89% of Chelsea’s, while Over 2.5 occurred in 58% and 72% of matches respectively. Chelsea have scored 57 goals this season versus Sunderland’s 40, and Sunderland have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 per game on average), increasing the risk of a higher scoreline; both teams scored in 58% of Sunderland’s matches and 67% of Chelsea’s. Chelsea’s superior shot efficiency (conversion 15% vs Sunderland 9%) and the projected total xG of 2.84 (above the league average 2.76) provide the strongest signal for the over, therefore I recommend Over 2.5 (estimated probability ≈67%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project an HT/FT outcome of 1/2 (Sunderland leading at half-time, Chelsea winning after 90 minutes). Sunderland have led at the break in 47% of home matches, while Chelsea have led HT in only 33%, giving the hosts a greater probability of a first-half lead. However, Chelsea are stronger after the break: they average 1.00 goals in the second half versus Sunderland’s 0.68 and win the second half in 50% of matches compared to the home side’s 21%, which favors a turnaround. Additionally, xG is 1.70 for Sunderland versus 1.41 for Chelsea, but the visitors have a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 9%) and concede only 0.61 goals on average after the break versus Sunderland’s 0.84, so they make better use of chances and close out games. From these data, the scenario that Sunderland will lead HT and Chelsea will overturn the result after the break is the strongest signal, therefore I pick 1/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sunderland | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sunderland is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sunderland · 0.8 pts / match - Chelsea
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chelsea is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Sunderland · 1.54 goals / match - Chelsea
Sunderland is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Sunderland · 1.35 goals / match - Chelsea
Sunderland scores in 65% of matches (24 of 37 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 matches).
Chelsea scores in 81% of matches (30 of 37 matches), while Sunderland keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sunderland
Over / Under - Chelsea
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chelsea is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Sunderland · 1.51 pts / match - Chelsea
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sunderland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chelsea - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sunderland
Chelsea
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sunderland | Liga | Chelsea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.35 | 2.76 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sunderland 1 - 0 - 0 Chelsea. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The Premier League match finished Sunderland 2:1 Chelsea. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Sunderland score 1.08 goals per game on average and Chelsea 1.54. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Sunderland's matches and 62% of Chelsea's.
What form are Sunderland and Chelsea in?
Over the last 5 games Sunderland have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chelsea 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sunderland vs Chelsea: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.