Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueMuvumba GroundData current as of 21 October 2026

Sunrise vs Etoile de l'Est: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sunrise vs Etoile de l'Est: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sunrise play Etoile de l'Est in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Muvumba Ground.

Current form

Sunrise: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Etoile de l'Est: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sunrise scores 0.60 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Etoile de l'Est scores 0.50 and concedes 1.25. League average: 1.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sunrise 40%, Etoile de l'Est 50%. Over 2.5: Sunrise 20%, Etoile de l'Est 25%. League level: BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 19%.

xG, shots and style

Sunrise has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.15. Sunrise: 10.8 shots per match, Etoile de l'Est: 6.8.

Match halves

Sunrise: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. Etoile de l'Est: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Sunrise: 0-15 (2 goals). Etoile de l'Est: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.68 goals per match, BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 19%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0.6Goals scored / match0.5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1.2Goals conceded / match1.25
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
49%Average possession52%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
3.8Shots on target / match1.5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.8Shots per match6.75
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
3.8Shots on target1.5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
5.6%Shot conversion7.4%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
49%Possession52%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1.6xG for1.15
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1.73xG against1.22
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

Shooting quality

Sunrise: BalancedEtoile de l'Est: Balanced
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
Accuracy (shots on target)35%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.160.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sunrise is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Sunrise · 0.5 pts / match - Etoile de l'Est

Sunrise
DDWDL
Season result split
20% W60% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Etoile de l'Est
LDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-2
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-2
0.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sunrise is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Sunrise · 0.5 goals / match - Etoile de l'Est

Sunrise scoring profile: strong

Sunrise scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Etoile de l'Est keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).

Etoile de l'Est scoring profile: mixed

Etoile de l'Est scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Sunrise keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

3Goals scored (season)2
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
6Goals conceded (season)5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1.8Average goals in match1.75
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
3Goals scored (last 5)2
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal50%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%2 goals0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%3 goals0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%4 goals0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal75%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%2 goals50%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%3 goals0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%4 goals0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

23%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time25%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%Scored in both halves0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
40%BTTS - last 550%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time25%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sunrise is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Sunrise · 1 pts / match - Etoile de l'Est

Sunrise - half-time state
20% leading80% draw0% trailing
Etoile de l'Est - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.25
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0.6Average goals (1st half)0.5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
80%Clean sheet before half-time75%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
60%No goal before half-time75%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.5
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.25
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
60%Clean sheet after half-time25%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est
80%No goal after half-time75%
SunriseEtoile de l'Est

Sunrise - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Etoile de l'Est - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sunrise - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Etoile de l'Est - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.50
Goals scored / match0.30.3
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match0.51.3
1 goal25%75%
2 goals25%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%25%
No goal75%75%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sunrise
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Etoile de l'Est
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sunrise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
162%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 67% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Etoile de l'Est

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

SunriseLigaEtoile de l'Est
Average goals in match▲ 1.801.68• 1.75
Both teams scored▲ 40%23%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 20%19%▲ 25%
Clean sheets▼ 40%47%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 40%55%▼ 25%
Goal after half-time▲ 60%58%▲ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.68
Average goals per match
23%
Both teams scored
19%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
47%
Clean sheets
0.94
Home goals / match
0.74
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Sunrise and Etoile de l'Est play?

Sunrise face Etoile de l'Est on 24 October 2026 in National Soccer League at Muvumba Ground. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sunrise vs Etoile de l'Est?

Sunrise score 0.60 goals per game on average and Etoile de l'Est 0.50. The National Soccer League average is 1.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 19% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Sunrise's matches and 50% of Etoile de l'Est's.

What form are Sunrise and Etoile de l'Est in?

Over the last 5 games Sunrise have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Etoile de l'Est 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sunrise vs Etoile de l'Est?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.