Super Nova II vs Smiltene: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Super Nova II vs Smiltene: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova II play Smiltene in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match date is 19 September 2026.
Current form
Super Nova II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Smiltene: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova II scores 1.40 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Smiltene scores 1.35 and concedes 2.85. League average: 3.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova II 70%, Smiltene 60%. Over 2.5: Super Nova II 50%, Smiltene 70%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Smiltene has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.16. Super Nova II: 7.6 shots per match, Smiltene: 8.4.
Match halves
Super Nova II: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Smiltene: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Super Nova II: 16-30 (7 goals). Smiltene: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.73 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova II | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova II is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Super Nova II · 0.6 pts / match - Smiltene
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova II is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Super Nova II · 2.85 goals / match - Smiltene
Super Nova II scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Smiltene scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova II
Over / Under - Smiltene
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova II is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Super Nova II · 0.75 pts / match - Smiltene
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova II
Smiltene
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova II | Liga | Smiltene | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.73 | ▲ 4.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 71% | • 70% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 84% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Super Nova II 1 - 0 - 0 Smiltene. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Super Nova II and Smiltene play?
Super Nova II face Smiltene on 19 September 2026 in 1. Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova II vs Smiltene?
Super Nova II score 1.40 goals per game on average and Smiltene 1.35. The 1. Liga average is 3.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Super Nova II's matches and 60% of Smiltene's.
What form are Super Nova II and Smiltene in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova II have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Smiltene 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova II vs Smiltene?
The statistical background for Super Nova II vs Smiltene — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.