Sutton United vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Sutton United vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sutton United played Eastleigh in National League (England). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: The Borough Sports Ground. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sutton United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Eastleigh: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sutton United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Eastleigh scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sutton United 14%, Eastleigh 71%. Over 2.5: Sutton United 43%, Eastleigh 43%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Eastleigh has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.14. Sutton United: 7.3 shots per match, Eastleigh: 8.7.
Match halves
Sutton United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43. Eastleigh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Sutton United: 16-30 (3 goals). Eastleigh: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sutton United sit 5th, while Eastleigh are 10th, with the hosts having won 4 of their 6 matches this season compared with the visitors’ 3 victories. At home, Sutton win 67% of their matches and score an average of 1.00 goals, whereas Eastleigh score just 0.67 goals per away game and lose 67% of such fixtures. The hosts are also more clinical in front of goal, converting 14% of their shots compared with Eastleigh’s 8%, despite the visitors attempting slightly more shots: 8.33 versus 7.00. However, the quality of chances is fairly even, with Sutton averaging 1.14 xG at home and Eastleigh 1.19 xG away, meaning a draw remains a realistic outcome. Nevertheless, home advantage, superior finishing and a run of 3 wins in their last 5 matches overall point towards a narrow Sutton United victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Eastleigh’s limited away scoring output: the team averages only 0.67 goals and failed to score in 33% of such matches. Sutton keeps a clean sheet in 0% of home games, but its current attacking form has clearly declined — over the last 5 matches, it averaged 0.8 goals, with BTTS occurring in only 20% of them. Eastleigh recorded BTTS in 60% of its last 5 matches, but both teams generate almost identical, moderate xG figures: 1.13 for Sutton and 1.12 for Eastleigh. Sutton’s season-long 100% BTTS rate is based on a very small sample, while Eastleigh’s 33% BTTS rate and weak scoring record point more strongly to a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model expects 2.35 goals, with a forecast of 1.25 for Sutton United and 1.10 for Eastleigh, which clearly places the match away from the four-goal line. Eastleigh averages just 0.67 goals away from home, and 100% of such matches finished with Under 3.5 goals. In their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.2 goals, while each exceeded the 2.5-goal threshold in only 40% of games. The teams’ average xG figures are similar and moderate, at 1.13 for Sutton and 1.12 for Eastleigh over their last five appearances. Therefore, Under 3.5 has the strongest support in the data: even if the hosts produce a more clinical performance, a maximum of three goals remains the most likely scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sutton United win after 90 minutes. Eastleigh have drawn the first half in all three of their away matches so far, and this outcome has occurred in 80% of their last five games. Sutton, however, have a clear advantage in terms of winning the match: at home, they average 2.00 goals and win 67% of their games, while Eastleigh score just 0.67 goals away from home and lose 67% of their matches. The hosts also register more shots on target, 3.33 compared with 2.33, and their finishing efficiency stands at 21%, compared with just 8% for the visitors. After the break, Eastleigh concede an average of 0.67 goals, while Sutton score 1.33 in this period, which supports a turnaround and the hosts breaking the deadlock in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sutton United | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.6 pts / match - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Sutton United · 1.29 goals / match - Eastleigh
Sutton United scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Eastleigh scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sutton United
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eastleigh is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.57 pts / match - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sutton United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sutton United
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Sutton United | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 3.13 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 63% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 17% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sutton UnitedYellow cardJoe Knight
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sutton United 2 - 0 - 0 Eastleigh. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sutton United vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Sutton United 2:1 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sutton United and Eastleigh?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sutton United won 2, Eastleigh won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sutton United vs Eastleigh?
Sutton United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.29. The National League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Sutton United's matches and 71% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Sutton United and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Sutton United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Eastleigh 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sutton United vs Eastleigh?
The statistical background for Sutton United vs Eastleigh — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.