England - National LeagueThe Borough Sports GroundData current as of 24 September 2026

Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sutton United play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: The Borough Sports Ground.

Current form

Sutton United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sutton United scores 1.11 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.44 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sutton United 33%, Forest Green Rovers 56%. Over 2.5: Sutton United 44%, Forest Green Rovers 67%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.22. Sutton United: 7.6 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 13.6.

Match halves

Sutton United: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.44. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Sutton United: 16-30 (5 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.79)
(3.32)
(2.24)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.11Goals scored / match1.44
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.11Goals conceded / match1.56
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
47%Average possession49%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
3.22Shots on target / match4.67
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.56Shots per match13.56
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
3.22Shots on target4.67
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
14.7%Shot conversion10.7%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
47%Possession49%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.22xG for1.64
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.15xG against1.26
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

Shooting quality

Sutton United: Counter-attackingForest Green Rovers: Balanced
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)43%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Forest Green Rovers is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

Sutton United
LLLWD
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Forest Green Rovers
LWWDL
Season result split
44% W11% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-4
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forest Green Rovers is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Sutton United · 1.44 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Sutton United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.11 goals / match - Sutton United · 1.56 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers

Sutton United scoring profile: very strong

Sutton United scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Forest Green Rovers scoring profile: very strong

Forest Green Rovers scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Sutton United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

10Goals scored (season)13
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
10Goals conceded (season)14
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
2.22Average goals in match3
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal78%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
33%2 goals33%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
11%3 goals22%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals11%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal78%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
33%2 goals56%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
11%3 goals22%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0%4 goals0%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
Forest Green Rovers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 9 matches
66%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
11%Scored in both halves11%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
40%BTTS - last 560%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sutton United is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Sutton United · 1.11 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers

Sutton United - half-time state
44% leading22% draw33% trailing
Forest Green Rovers - half-time state
22% leading44% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.11
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.11
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
56%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
56%No goal before half-time56%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.22
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)1
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
44%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers
67%No goal after half-time56%
Sutton UnitedForest Green Rovers

Sutton United - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Forest Green Rovers - second-half results

33% W22% D44% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sutton United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Forest Green Rovers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sutton United
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Forest Green Rovers
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sutton United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.98
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Forest Green Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Sutton UnitedLigaForest Green Rovers
Average goals in match 2.223.01 3.00
Both teams scored 33%66% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%60% 67%
Clean sheets 33%18% 22%
Goal before half-time 78%71% 78%
Goal after half-time 78%87% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Sutton United 0 - 1 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Sutton United FC
1 : 1
Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC
4 : 0
Sutton United FC

FAQ

When do Sutton United and Forest Green Rovers play?

Sutton United face Forest Green Rovers on 26 September 2026 in National League at The Borough Sports Ground. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sutton United and Forest Green Rovers?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sutton United won 0, Forest Green Rovers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Sutton United score 1.11 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.44. The National League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sutton United's matches and 56% of Forest Green Rovers's.

What form are Sutton United and Forest Green Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Sutton United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sutton United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.