Suwon Bluewings vs Suwon: match statistics

Suwon Bluewings sit top of the table and lose just 10% of their home matches, but they have scored 8 goals across their last five games and won only twice. The visitors are more effective away from home, averaging 1.91 goals compared with the hosts’ 1.2, while registering 13.73 shots per match and 5.27 shots on target versus 4.2. Suwon also create higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.65 compared with 1.49, and have collected 10 points in their last five league rounds, while the leaders have taken 8. The Bluewings’ key strength is their defence: at home, they concede just 0.6 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 60% of games. However, the visitors have failed to score in only 9% of their away fixtures. With better recent form and clearly greater attacking potential, Suwon have a slight edge, although the hosts’ solid defence increases the likelihood of a draw.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the exceptionally high seasonal frequency of both teams scoring: 75% in Suwon Bluewings matches and 82% in Suwon fixtures, compared with the league average of 62%. The hosts score an average of 2.25 goals, while the visitors average 1.91, with the away side keeping a clean sheet in only 9% of matches and conceding an average of 1.45 goals. In their last five games, both teams have continued to display solid attacking form, scoring 1.6 and 1.8 goals per match respectively, while their average xG stands at 1.86 and 1.95. Suwon also register more shots on target, 5.27 compared with the hosts’ 4.13, further strengthening the visitors’ chances of breaching the opposition defence. The main risk to the pick comes from Bluewings’ strong recent defensive record, having conceded only 5 goals in five matches; however, the goal-related indicators clearly favour both teams finding the net.

The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the season data: at least two goals were scored in 88% of the hosts’ matches and 91% of the visitors’ games. Both teams regularly participate in open matches, with the hosts averaging 2.25 goals per game and the visitors 1.91, while their overall matches average 3.25 and 3.36 goals, respectively. Their creative potential also points towards goals: average xG stands at 1.50 for the hosts and 1.65 for the visitors, rising to 1.86 and 1.95 respectively over the last five matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 75% of the hosts’ fixtures and 82% of the visitors’ games, but Over 1.5 is the safer choice, as it remains the most likely scenario even if finishing efficiency is lower.

Suwon Bluewings have a clearly stronger first-half profile: they led at the break in 6 of 8 matches, or 75%, scoring an average of 1.13 goals and conceding just 0.38. The visitors went into half-time behind in as many as 45% of their matches, scoring an average of 0.73 goals in the first half while conceding the same number. The hosts remain unbeaten throughout the season, recording a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate, while their opponents lost 27% of their matches and conceded an average of 1.45 goals. However, Bluewings' last five matches have been more cautious, with the score level at half-time in 60% of cases and an average of just 0.4 goals scored before the break, which is why draw-based HT/FT scenarios have been given significant consideration. Despite the visitors' better recent points form, the hosts' first-half advantage and more solid defensive record indicate that the most likely scenario is a lead at the break followed by a win maintained through full-time.