Suwon vs Paju Citizen: match statistics
Suwon vs Paju Citizen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Suwon played Paju Citizen in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Suwon: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Paju Citizen: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Suwon scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Paju Citizen scores 1.50 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Suwon 100%, Paju Citizen 50%. Over 2.5: Suwon 100%, Paju Citizen 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Suwon has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.31. Suwon: 13.3 shots per match, Paju Citizen: 10.0.
Match halves
Suwon: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.00. Paju Citizen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Suwon: 76-90+ (4 goals). Paju Citizen: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Suwon hold a clear home advantage: 100% home wins, averaging 3 goals and 15 shots per home game with a 20% conversion. Paju Citizen have a decent attack but concede on average 2 goals away and display unstable form, weakening their prospects. The xG gap (Suwon 1.86 vs Paju 1.68) and higher shots on target favor the hosts. Both teams rarely finish scoreless (FTS% 0) and a combined goals average ~4 suggests an open game with goals from both sides. Therefore I tip a home win with moderately high probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats point to a high probability of BTTS: Paju has seasonal BTTS 100% and averages 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, suggesting persistent defensive risk. Suwon’s last-5 form shows 80% BTTS and 2.2 goals/match, increasing the chance both teams score. The league features high BTTS (66%) and goals ~3.06, favoring both teams scoring. Although Suwon has season CS 50%, recent matches show more openness and higher xG for both sides, and Paju generates many shots on target. Considering form, xG and league tendencies, I recommend BTTS: YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total xG (0.93 + 1.68) and opponents’ defensive metrics imply roughly ~2.74 goals in the match, indicating a moderately high chance of chance creation. Paju Citizen shows clear goal tendencies and BTTS (100% seasonally), while Suwon has increased shooting efficiency in the last 5 matches, raising the likelihood of goal exchanges. Shot and conversion stats (especially Paju’s advantage in shot volume) further boost the chance of more than 1.5 goals. Seasonal and league goal averages (≈3.06) and high over percentages for both teams confirm an Over selection. The strongest signal is over 1.5 as the most probable and safe line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis points to a high chance of a half-time draw: both teams have 50% drawingAtHTPercentage and the home side keeps clean sheets at HT (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 100%). Paju Citizen displays a clear seasonal attacking edge (seasonAVG_away 4.0, xG_for_avg_away 1.68, shotsAVG_away 13.5), increasing the likelihood of turning the game in the second half. Hosts score more frequently late (goals_scored_min_76_to_90_home 1.0), while visitors score early (goals_scored_min_0_to_15_away 2.0), suggesting second-half decisive goals. High BTTS values in the league and for both teams point to both teams contributing to the scoreline, supporting a half-time draw and an away win at full-time. I therefore recommend HT/FT: X/2 as the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Suwon | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Suwon is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Suwon · 1.5 pts / match - Paju Citizen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Suwon is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Suwon · 1.5 goals / match - Paju Citizen
Suwon is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Suwon · 1.25 goals / match - Paju Citizen
Suwon scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Paju Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Paju Citizen scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Suwon keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Suwon
Over / Under - Paju Citizen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Suwon is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Suwon · 2 pts / match - Paju Citizen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Suwon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paju Citizen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Suwon
Paju Citizen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Suwon | Liga | Paju Citizen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.78 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
The K League 2 match finished Suwon 2:1 Paju Citizen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
Suwon score 3.00 goals per game on average and Paju Citizen 1.50. The K League 2 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Suwon's matches and 50% of Paju Citizen's.
What form are Suwon and Paju Citizen in?
Over the last 5 games Suwon have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Paju Citizen 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Suwon vs Paju Citizen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.