Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen: match statistics
Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Suzhou Dongwu played Guangxi Hengchen in China League One (China). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Suzhou Dongwu: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. Guangxi Hengchen: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Suzhou Dongwu scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Suzhou Dongwu 50%, Guangxi Hengchen 75%. Over 2.5: Suzhou Dongwu 50%, Guangxi Hengchen 75%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.08. Suzhou Dongwu: 8.3 shots per match, Guangxi Hengchen: 14.3.
Match halves
Suzhou Dongwu: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Suzhou Dongwu: 46-60 (2 goals). Guangxi Hengchen: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites in this fixture appear to be the visitors: Guangxi sit 8th in the table vs 14th for Suzhou, have scored 5 goals this season vs 3 for the hosts and have found the net 6 times in their last five matches compared to Suzhou’s 4. The visitors create more chances — on average 12 shots per match and 4 on target vs 8 shots and 1 on target for the hosts — and average xG of 1.46 for Guangxi vs 1.17 for Suzhou, despite the hosts having a higher conversion rate (13% vs 8%). Both teams concede on average 2.0 goals per match, but Suzhou have a higher home xG against at 1.59 vs 1.32 for the visitors and an alarming 100% loss rate in home matches, which is a strong defensive weakness signal. Recent form over the last five matches is similar — both teams average 1.2 points per match and have 2 wins in that period — however the visitors’ superiority in chance creation and the better season goal balance of 5–3 favor Guangxi. Therefore I tip an away win, with an estimated probability distribution of 45% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 25% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Guangxi Hengchen has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Suzhou Dongwu records 50% for the season and 40% in their last five. The visitors concede an average of 2.0 goals over the season (1.4 in the last 5) and score 1.0 in the season (1.2 in the last 5), indicating their matches regularly feature goal exchanges. The home side concedes only 0.5 goals for the season and keep clean sheets in 50% of matches, but their seasonal xG is 1.93 (last 5: 1.19) and they average 7.0 shots on target versus the visitors’ 4.0, so they also have scoring potential. Additionally, Guangxi’s matches this season have been over 2.5 goals in 100% of cases and BTTS in 100% of cases; the league shows 45% BTTS and 57% clean sheets, so the strong individual profile of the visitors shifts the balance towards both teams scoring. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 75% (Yes) and 25% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG indicates 1.63 expected goals for the home side (1.93 xG attack vs 1.32 xG defense of the away team) and 1.23 expected goals for the visitors (1.46 xG attack vs 1.00 xG defense of the home team), totaling 2.86 expected goals. The home side averages 16.5 shots with 7.0 on target and a 9% conversion, aligning with a seasonal average of 1.5 goals; the away side averages 12.0 shots with 4.0 on target with an 8% conversion and a seasonal average of 1.0 goal. In a Poisson model with lambda=2.86 the probability of over 1.5 goals (>=2) is about 78%, and over 2.5 goals (>=3) about 54%. Season statistics reinforce the offensive profile: the away team has 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season and 80% in the last 5, the home team 50% seasonally and 40% in the last 5, hence an adjusted probability for over 1.5 at 86% and over 2.5 at 68%. The absence of matches over 3.5 goals in both teams' stats (seasonOver35 0% vs 0%) reduces confidence in very high scores, so over 3.5 is priced at 16% and I recommend over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team are clear favorites: they have a 100% win rate and average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match (winPercentage_home 100.0; seasonScoredAVG_home 1.5; seasonConcededAVG_home 0.5), while the away side have no wins and concede an average of 2.0 goals per game (winPercentage_away 0.0; seasonConcededAVG_away 2.0). In attack the hosts generate higher xG — 1.93 versus the visitors’ 1.46 — and register more on-target shots (7.0 vs 4.0), which translates into a greater number of scoring opportunities. At Half-Time the home team do not concede on average (concededAVGHT_home 0.0) and led in 50% of matches with an average of 0.5 goals at the break (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 50.0; scoredAVGHT_home 0.5), so they are most often leading or level after 45 minutes. In the second half the hosts score an average of 1.0 and concede 0.5 (scored_2hg_avg_home 1.0; conceded_2hg_avg_home 0.5), while the away team concedes an average of 1.5 after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_away 1.5), which increases the chance of maintaining or extending the lead. For these reasons I pick 1/1 (home team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) as the strongest scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Suzhou Dongwu | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangxi Hengchen is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - Suzhou Dongwu · 1.5 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangxi Hengchen is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Suzhou Dongwu · 1.25 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Suzhou Dongwu scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Suzhou Dongwu keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Suzhou Dongwu
Over / Under - Guangxi Hengchen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangxi Hengchen is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Suzhou Dongwu · 1.75 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Suzhou Dongwu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Suzhou Dongwu
Guangxi Hengchen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Suzhou Dongwu | Liga | Guangxi Hengchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.12 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen?
The China League One match finished Suzhou Dongwu 1:0 Guangxi Hengchen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Suzhou Dongwu score 0.75 goals per game on average and Guangxi Hengchen 1.25. The China League One average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Suzhou Dongwu's matches and 75% of Guangxi Hengchen's.
What form are Suzhou Dongwu and Guangxi Hengchen in?
Over the last 5 games Suzhou Dongwu have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Guangxi Hengchen 2-0-2 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.