Swansea City vs Bristol City: match statistics
Swansea City are in 16th place in the table, but at home they perform solidly with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). Bristol City (9th place) have a better overall record, but they are less convincing in away matches – a 40% win rate and as many as 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Swansea have averaged 1.8 points per match over their last 5 games, while Bristol have managed only 1.4, indicating better current form for the hosts. The xG statistics are even (1.46 vs 1.39), and the average goals in both teams' matches (2.63 for Swansea at home, 2.4 for Bristol away) suggest a closely contested fixture. Considering Swansea's home advantage and Bristol's inconsistency on the road, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts hold a slight edge.
Swansea City vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swansea City played Bristol City in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Swansea City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Bristol City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swansea City scores 1.19 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Bristol City scores 1.41 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swansea City 53%, Bristol City 44%. Over 2.5: Swansea City 47%, Bristol City 47%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bristol City has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.37. Swansea City: 12.5 shots per match, Bristol City: 12.9.
Match halves
Swansea City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.81. Bristol City: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Swansea City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Bristol City: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swansea City are in 16th place in the table, but at home they perform solidly with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6). Bristol City (9th place) have a better overall record, but they are less convincing in away matches – a 40% win rate and as many as 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Swansea have averaged 1.8 points per match over their last 5 games, while Bristol have managed only 1.4, indicating better current form for the hosts. The xG statistics are even (1.46 vs 1.39), and the average goals in both teams' matches (2.63 for Swansea at home, 2.4 for Bristol away) suggest a closely contested fixture. Considering Swansea's home advantage and Bristol's inconsistency on the road, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts hold a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swansea City | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swansea City is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.4 pts / match - Bristol City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bristol City is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Swansea City · 1.41 goals / match - Bristol City
Swansea City scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Bristol City scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swansea City
Over / Under - Bristol City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bristol City is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.5 pts / match - Bristol City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bristol City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swansea City
Bristol City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Swansea City | Liga | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.57 | • 2.66 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swansea City 0 - 0 - 1 Bristol City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swansea City vs Bristol City?
The Championship match finished Swansea City 1:0 Bristol City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Bristol City?
Swansea City score 1.19 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.41. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Swansea City's matches and 44% of Bristol City's.
What form are Swansea City and Bristol City in?
Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Bristol City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Bristol City?
The statistical background for Swansea City vs Bristol City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.