Swansea City vs Derby County: match statistics
Swansea City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swansea City played Derby County in Championship (England). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Swansea City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Derby County: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swansea City scores 0.94 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swansea City 56%, Derby County 69%. Over 2.5: Swansea City 44%, Derby County 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Swansea City has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.03. Swansea City: 11.0 shots per match, Derby County: 8.5.
Match halves
Swansea City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.69. Derby County: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Swansea City: 61-75 (5 goals). Derby County: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swansea City | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derby County is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Swansea City · 2.4 pts / match - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Derby County is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Swansea City · 1.38 goals / match - Derby County
Swansea City scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Derby County scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swansea City
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Derby County is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.63 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.31 pts / match - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swansea City - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swansea City
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Swansea City | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Swansea City vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Swansea City 1:2 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Derby County?
Swansea City score 0.94 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.38. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Swansea City's matches and 69% of Derby County's.
What form are Swansea City and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Derby County 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Derby County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swansea City vs Derby County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.