Swansea City vs Stoke City: match statistics
Swansea City presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +7 at their own stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.44 goals per match in home games with just 6% of matches without scoring, indicating an effective offense. Stoke City performs significantly worse in away matches – only 33% wins, as many as 44% losses, and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring a goal. The form of the last five meetings also favors Swansea (1.4 points per game) compared to Stoke (0.8 points per game). The advantage in possession (56% vs 52%), higher number of shots (13.17 vs 9.78), and better conversion rate (11% vs 9%) further support predictions for a home win. Taking all statistics into account, Swansea City has a real advantage, although Stoke can defend effectively on the road, which may lead to a close result.
Swansea City vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swansea City played Stoke City in Championship (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Swansea City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stoke City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swansea City scores 1.14 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Stoke City scores 1.11 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swansea City 51%, Stoke City 40%. Over 2.5: Swansea City 46%, Stoke City 43%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Swansea City has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.27. Swansea City: 12.3 shots per match, Stoke City: 11.1.
Match halves
Swansea City: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.77. Stoke City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Swansea City: 76-90+ (11 goals). Stoke City: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swansea City presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +7 at their own stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.44 goals per match in home games with just 6% of matches without scoring, indicating an effective offense. Stoke City performs significantly worse in away matches – only 33% wins, as many as 44% losses, and a concerning 44% of matches without scoring a goal. The form of the last five meetings also favors Swansea (1.4 points per game) compared to Stoke (0.8 points per game). The advantage in possession (56% vs 52%), higher number of shots (13.17 vs 9.78), and better conversion rate (11% vs 9%) further support predictions for a home win. Taking all statistics into account, Swansea City has a real advantage, although Stoke can defend effectively on the road, which may lead to a close result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swansea City | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swansea City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Swansea City · 1 pts / match - Stoke City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stoke City is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Swansea City · 0.97 goals / match - Stoke City
Swansea City scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Stoke City scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swansea City
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.4 pts / match - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swansea City
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Swansea City | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swansea City 0 - 0 - 1 Stoke City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swansea City vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Swansea City 2:0 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Stoke City?
Swansea City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.11. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Swansea City's matches and 40% of Stoke City's.
What form are Swansea City and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stoke City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Stoke City?
The statistical background for Swansea City vs Stoke City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.