Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW: match statistics
Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Świdniczanka Świdnik played Sparta KW in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Świdniczanka Świdnik: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Sparta KW: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Świdniczanka Świdnik scores 1.07 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Sparta KW scores 0.89 and concedes 3.26. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Świdniczanka Świdnik 74%, Sparta KW 37%. Over 2.5: Świdniczanka Świdnik 70%, Sparta KW 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Świdniczanka Świdnik has higher xG: 1.12 vs 0.95. Świdniczanka Świdnik: 4.5 shots per match, Sparta KW: 2.3.
Match halves
Świdniczanka Świdnik: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.48. Sparta KW: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Świdniczanka Świdnik: 0-15 (12 goals). Sparta KW: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Świdniczanka Świdnik is the favorite: they have scored 29 goals this season versus Sparta KW’s 24, and at home they average 1.08 goals scored against 1.92 conceded. Sparta KW have more serious defensive issues — they’ve conceded 88 goals this season (3.38 per away match) versus Świdniczanka’s 63, and the average xG against the visitors is 2.05 compared to 1.20 for the hosts, indicating opponents create significantly better chances against Sparta. The visitors attempt slightly more shots (6.33 vs 5.33) and average 2.0 shots on target versus 0.89 for the hosts, but their conversion is only 8% compared to 17% for Świdniczanka, and Sparta failed to score in 62% of away matches (hosts were goalless in 23% of home games). Form for both teams is poor: Świdniczanka in the last 5 matches has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses with 3 scored and 13 conceded, while Sparta has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses with 4 scored and 15 conceded. Considering the better xG for the hosts (1.07 vs 0.84), higher efficiency and Sparta’s clearly worse away defense, I predict a Świdniczanka win; I propose probability distribution 60% home, 20% draw, 20% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics slightly weigh against BTTS - season BTTS rates are 43% for Świdniczanka and 31% for Sparta (avg ~37%), and xG of 1.09 for the home side vs 0.84 for the away side yields an estimated probability of both teams scoring at ~38%. Świdniczanka averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 3.14 per match, records 4.2 shots on target with a 30% conversion rate, which per xG (1.09) gives them ~66% chance to score at least once; Sparta averages 0.62 goals per match, 2.0 shots on target and 8% conversion (xG 0.84 → ~57% chance to score), so the visitors are the weaker link in scoring terms. Very low clean sheet percentages — 7% for hosts and 8% for visitors — mean hosts concede in 93% of matches and visitors in 92%, which raises the risk of goals from both sides but does not guarantee simultaneous scoring. In the short term the last 5 matches show BTTS in 60% of Świdniczanka’s games and 40% of Sparta’s (avg 50%), yet considering season-long rates (43% vs 31%) and the visitors’ lower efficiency, the 'no' signal is stronger. Therefore I set the probability distribution at 40% for BTTS - Yes and 60% for No, and recommend 'No' due to the visitors' low season BTTS (31%), lower xG and Sparta’s very poor conversion (0.62 goals and 8% conversion).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects expected goals of 1.57 for Świdniczanka and 1.43 for Sparta (total 3.00), calculated as the average of team xG and opponent xG: (1.09 + 2.05)/2 and (0.84 + 2.02)/2. Seasonal data show 93% of Świdniczanka’s matches and 85% of Sparta’s matches finished over 1.5 goals, and both teams concede an average of 3.14 and 3.38 goals per game respectively (season totals 63 and 88 goals conceded). Świdniczanka averages 4.2 shots on target and 8.0 shots per game with a 30% conversion rate; Sparta has 2.0 shots on target and 6.33 shots per game with an 8% conversion, indicating a gap in finishing quality and potential for quick goals. Under a Poisson model with an expected total of 3.00 goals, the probability of Over 1.5 is about 80%, Over 2.5 about 58%, and Over 3.5 about 35%. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5), because the high expected total of 3.00, strong >1.5 percentages (93%/85%) and large numbers of goals conceded increase the likelihood of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is 2/2 — Sparta leads at the break and ultimately wins. Świdniczanka has not led at half-time in any match this season (0% leads), and is trailing after 45 minutes in 63% of games, with an average of 0.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded by half-time, so a typical half-time score is 0-1. The first half yields goals in 75% of the home team’s matches (seasonOver05PercentageHT_home 75%), while the second half is highly goal-rich — average goals in second halves of the home matches is 2.88, of which home teams concede on average 1.88 goals after the break. Although Świdniczanka has a higher xG (1.09 vs Sparta’s 0.84) and more shots on target (4.2 vs 2.0), both teams concede many goals over the season (3.14 vs 3.38), increasing the likelihood of the visitors extending their lead and Sparta securing the final success.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Świdniczanka Świdnik | Sparta KW | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.93 | 1.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sparta KW is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Świdniczanka Świdnik · 0.6 pts / match - Sparta KW
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Świdniczanka Świdnik is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Świdniczanka Świdnik · 0.89 goals / match - Sparta KW
Świdniczanka Świdnik is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Świdniczanka Świdnik · 3.26 goals / match - Sparta KW
Świdniczanka Świdnik scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Sparta KW keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).
Sparta KW scores in 44% of matches (12 of 27 matches), while Świdniczanka Świdnik keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Świdniczanka Świdnik
Over / Under - Sparta KW
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Świdniczanka Świdnik is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Świdniczanka Świdnik · 0.7 pts / match - Sparta KW
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Świdniczanka Świdnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sparta KW - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (27). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (53). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Świdniczanka Świdnik
Sparta KW
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Świdniczanka Świdnik | Liga | Sparta KW | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.41 | 3.09 | ▲ 4.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 57% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Świdniczanka Świdnik 1 - 0 - 0 Sparta KW. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Świdniczanka Świdnik 4:1 Sparta KW. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW?
Świdniczanka Świdnik score 1.07 goals per game on average and Sparta KW 0.89. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Świdniczanka Świdnik's matches and 37% of Sparta KW's.
What form are Świdniczanka Świdnik and Sparta KW in?
Over the last 5 games Świdniczanka Świdnik have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sparta KW 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW?
The statistical background for Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sparta KW — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.