England - EFL League TwoThe Nigel Eady County Ground StadiumData current as of 22 September 2026

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Swindon Town play Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium.

Current form

Swindon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Swindon Town scores 1.14 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.43 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Swindon Town 43%, Accrington Stanley 71%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 71%, Accrington Stanley 71%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.00. Swindon Town: 8.4 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 13.6.

Match halves

Swindon Town: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Swindon Town: 76-90+ (3 goals). Accrington Stanley: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.19)
(3.62)
(2.88)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1.14Goals scored / match1.43
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1.57Goals conceded / match1.86
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
44%Average possession47%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
3Shots on target / match4.57
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.43Shots per match13.57
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
3Shots on target4.57
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
13.6%Shot conversion10.5%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
44%Possession47%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1xG for1.45
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1.84xG against1.69
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

Shooting quality

Swindon Town: Counter-attackingAccrington Stanley: Balanced
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Swindon Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1 pts / match - Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town
LWWLL
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Accrington Stanley
LDWLD
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Accrington Stanley is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.43 goals / match - Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.86 goals / match - Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town scoring profile: strong

Swindon Town scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Accrington Stanley scoring profile: very strong

Accrington Stanley scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)10
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
11Goals conceded (season)13
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
2.71Average goals in match3.29
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal71%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
43%2 goals57%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%3 goals14%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0%4 goals0%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal86%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%2 goals86%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%3 goals14%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
14%4 goals0%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Accrington Stanley - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 7 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time57%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0%BTTS in both halves29%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%Scored in both halves43%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
40%BTTS - last 580%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time43%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Accrington Stanley is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.14 pts / match - Accrington Stanley

Swindon Town - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Accrington Stanley - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1.14
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.86
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)1.14
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1Average goals (1st half)2
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
43%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
71%No goal before half-time29%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.29
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
43%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
57%No goal after half-time57%
Swindon TownAccrington Stanley

Swindon Town - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Accrington Stanley - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Accrington Stanley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Accrington Stanley
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Accrington Stanley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Swindon TownLigaAccrington Stanley
Average goals in match 2.712.52 3.29
Both teams scored 43%51% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%44% 71%
Clean sheets 14%29% 14%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 86%
Goal after half-time 86%75% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+68%
Home attack advantage
+41%
Home defence advantage
+38%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Swindon Town 0 - 1 - 1 Accrington Stanley. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Swindon Town FC
2 : 2
Accrington Stanley FC
Accrington Stanley FC
4 : 0
Swindon Town FC

FAQ

When do Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley play?

Swindon Town face Accrington Stanley on 26 September 2026 in EFL League Two at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Town won 0, Accrington Stanley won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?

Swindon Town score 1.14 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.43. The EFL League Two average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Swindon Town's matches and 71% of Accrington Stanley's.

What form are Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley in?

Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.