Swindon Town vs Barrow: match statistics
Swindon Town demonstrates significantly better home form with 54% of home matches won and a positive goal difference (+6) at their home ground. The hosts average 1.62 goals per match at home while keeping 31% clean sheets. Barrow achieves only 31% wins in away matches and concedes an average of 1.38 goals per match, which, combined with a negative goal difference (-1) and poor form (only 1 win in the last 5 matches), marks them as clear underdogs. Although both teams have an identical points tally in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), the home advantage and higher xG values (1.36 vs 1.32 for the visitors) speak in favor of a Swindon victory. Possession statistics (52% vs 45%) and shot accuracy also favor the hosts, although Barrow's solid scoring form away from home (1.31 goals/match) could threaten Swindon's defense.
Swindon Town vs Barrow: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Barrow in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Swindon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Barrow: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.59 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Barrow scores 1.04 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 56%, Barrow 58%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 63%, Barrow 62%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.27. Swindon Town: 12.5 shots per match, Barrow: 11.2.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Barrow: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 31-45+ (11 goals). Barrow: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town demonstrates significantly better home form with 54% of home matches won and a positive goal difference (+6) at their home ground. The hosts average 1.62 goals per match at home while keeping 31% clean sheets. Barrow achieves only 31% wins in away matches and concedes an average of 1.38 goals per match, which, combined with a negative goal difference (-1) and poor form (only 1 win in the last 5 matches), marks them as clear underdogs. Although both teams have an identical points tally in the last 5 matches (0.6 PPG), the home advantage and higher xG values (1.36 vs 1.32 for the visitors) speak in favor of a Swindon victory. Possession statistics (52% vs 45%) and shot accuracy also favor the hosts, although Barrow's solid scoring form away from home (1.31 goals/match) could threaten Swindon's defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.6 pts / match - Barrow
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.04 goals / match - Barrow
Swindon Town is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.5 goals / match - Barrow
Swindon Town scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Barrow scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Barrow
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.08 pts / match - Barrow
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Barrow
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.61 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Barrow. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Barrow?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 3:1 Barrow. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Barrow?
Swindon Town score 1.59 goals per game on average and Barrow 1.04. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Swindon Town's matches and 58% of Barrow's.
What form are Swindon Town and Barrow in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Barrow 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Barrow?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Barrow: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.