Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Swindon Town play Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 9 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 1.15 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Swindon Town 59%, Cheltenham Town 52%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 63%, Cheltenham Town 48%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.16. Swindon Town: 11.7 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 10.3.

Match halves

Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
9Shots11
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0Shots on target4
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0.8xG1.31
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
6Corners6
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
29Dangerous attacks46
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
11Fouls9
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
2Cards2
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.52Goals scored / match1.15
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.28Goals conceded / match1.72
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
52%Average possession49%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
4.63Shots on target / match2.98
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match10.26
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
4.63Shots on target2.98
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
13%Shot conversion11.2%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
52%Possession49%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.35xG for1.16
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.47xG against1.64
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Shooting quality

Swindon Town: Efficient finishingCheltenham Town: Balanced
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
Accuracy (shots on target)40%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cheltenham Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Swindon Town
WLDLL
Season result split
48% W20% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-9-15
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-6-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Cheltenham Town
WWLLL
Season result split
30% W22% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-22
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-12
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swindon Town is 32% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.15 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Swindon Town is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.72 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).

Cheltenham Town scoring profile: very strong

Cheltenham Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

70Goals scored (season)53
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
59Goals conceded (season)79
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
2.8Average goals in match2.87
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
12Goals conceded (last 5)12
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal74%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
52%2 goals30%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
15%3 goals9%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0%4 goals2%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal76%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
39%2 goals48%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
13%3 goals24%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
4%4 goals13%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

28%BTTS at half-time17%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
7%BTTS in both halves7%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
20%Scored in both halves13%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
60%BTTS - last 560%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swindon Town is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.83 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Swindon Town - half-time state
26% leading50% draw24% trailing
Cheltenham Town - half-time state
11% leading50% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.28Points per match (1st half)0.83
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.11
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
52%No goal before half-time72%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.28
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.76
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
50%Clean sheet after half-time37%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town
43%No goal after half-time41%
Swindon TownCheltenham Town

Swindon Town - second-half results

37% W39% R24% P
59
Half-time points
32
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cheltenham Town - second-half results

30% W37% R33% P
38
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding273%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cheltenham Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
10
12
0-15
8
7
16-30
14
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
11
8
61-75
19
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Cheltenham Town
ScoredConceded
4
13
0-15
4
10
16-30
7
13
31-45
9
14
46-60
16
13
61-75
13
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Cheltenham Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Swindon TownLigaCheltenham Town
Average goals in match 2.802.57 2.87
Both teams scored 59%52% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%48% 48%
Clean sheets 28%27% 24%
Goal before half-time 70%67% 59%
Goal after half-time 80%78% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 0:1 Cheltenham Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Swindon Town score 1.52 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 1.15. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Swindon Town's matches and 52% of Cheltenham Town's.

What form are Swindon Town and Cheltenham Town in?

Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.