Swindon Town vs Crawley Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Swindon Town played Crawley Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Swindon Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Crawley Town: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Swindon Town scores 1.70 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Crawley Town scores 1.25 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Swindon Town 60%, Crawley Town 60%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 70%, Crawley Town 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Crawley Town has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Swindon Town: 12.9 shots per match, Crawley Town: 14.3.

Match halves

Swindon Town: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Crawley Town: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Swindon Town: 0-15 (9 goals). Crawley Town: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
Swindon TownCrawley Town
6Shots17
Swindon TownCrawley Town
2Shots on target4
Swindon TownCrawley Town
0.71xG1.75
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1Corners11
Swindon TownCrawley Town
24Dangerous attacks54
Swindon TownCrawley Town
9Fouls13
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1Cards3
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.7Goals scored / match1.25
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.25Goals conceded / match1.75
Swindon TownCrawley Town
54%Average possession60%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
4.95Shots on target / match4.6
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.95Shots per match14.3
Swindon TownCrawley Town
4.95Shots on target4.6
Swindon TownCrawley Town
13.1%Shot conversion8.7%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
54%Possession60%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.46xG for1.54
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.28xG against1.51
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Shooting quality

Swindon Town: Efficient finishingCrawley Town: Dominant
Swindon TownCrawley Town
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Swindon Town is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.6 pts / match - Crawley Town

Swindon Town
DDWLW
Season result split
55% W20% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-5
1.85 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Crawley Town
DDLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-10
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swindon Town is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.7 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.25 goals / match - Crawley Town

Swindon Town is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.75 goals / match - Crawley Town

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Crawley Town keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).

Crawley Town scoring profile: very strong

Crawley Town scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

34Goals scored (season)25
Swindon TownCrawley Town
25Goals conceded (season)35
Swindon TownCrawley Town
2.95Average goals in match3
Swindon TownCrawley Town
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Swindon TownCrawley Town
5Goals conceded (last 5)12
Swindon TownCrawley Town

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal75%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
65%2 goals35%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
25%3 goals10%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
0%4 goals5%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal85%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
35%2 goals55%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
10%3 goals25%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
5%4 goals10%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time10%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
10%BTTS in both halves5%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
30%Scored in both halves20%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time35%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swindon Town is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.35 pts / match - Crawley Town

Swindon Town - half-time state
40% leading45% draw15% trailing
Crawley Town - half-time state
35% leading30% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per match (1st half)1.35
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Swindon TownCrawley Town
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.7Average goals (1st half)1.05
Swindon TownCrawley Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
35%No goal before half-time55%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)0.9
Swindon TownCrawley Town
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Swindon TownCrawley Town
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Swindon TownCrawley Town
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.95
Swindon TownCrawley Town
50%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Swindon TownCrawley Town
55%No goal after half-time50%
Swindon TownCrawley Town

Swindon Town - second-half results

20% W65% D15% L
33
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Crawley Town - second-half results

25% W15% D60% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding57%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match1.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match2.20.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals80%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
Crawley Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.42.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
4
2
16-30
9
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Crawley Town
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
10
46-60
7
8
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Crawley Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Swindon TownLigaCrawley Town
Average goals in match 2.952.68 3.00
Both teams scored 60%57% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%49% 60%
Clean sheets 25%24% 15%
Goal before half-time 80%71% 80%
Goal after half-time 60%76% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Crawley TownYellow cardHarry Forster
  2. Crawley TownYellow cardHarvey Davies
  3. Swindon TownGoalOliver James Palmer
  4. Crawley TownSubstitutionOn: Ade AdeyemoOff: Harry Forster
  5. Crawley TownSubstitutionOn: Kabongo TshimangaOff: Geraldo Bajrami
  6. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: William WrightOff: Thomas Andrew Nichols
  7. Crawley TownYellow cardJay Williams
  8. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Jake TaborOff: Joseph Snowdon
  9. Swindon TownYellow cardOliver James Palmer

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:0 Crawley Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?

Swindon Town score 1.70 goals per game on average and Crawley Town 1.25. The EFL League Two average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Swindon Town's matches and 60% of Crawley Town's.

What form are Swindon Town and Crawley Town in?

Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Crawley Town 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Crawley Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.