Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
Swindon Town displays impressive home form with 63% of matches won at home and a solid goal difference of +13 at their own stadium. The hosts are in 2nd place in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals. Crewe Alexandra has a significantly weaker away record – only 31% of wins away from home and a high rate of 38% of matches without scoring a goal. Swindon surpasses the visitors in key home parameters: an average of 1.81 goals per match vs Crewe's 1.25 away, better shot conversion (15% vs 11%), and greater ball possession (52% vs 50%). Although Crewe shows decent recent overall form, their weaknesses in away matches and Swindon's solid advantage at home speak in favor of a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the defensive stability of both teams.
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Swindon Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.67 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.45 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 55%, Crewe Alexandra 58%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 64%, Crewe Alexandra 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Swindon Town: 12.2 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 12.0.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.82. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town displays impressive home form with 63% of matches won at home and a solid goal difference of +13 at their own stadium. The hosts are in 2nd place in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals. Crewe Alexandra has a significantly weaker away record – only 31% of wins away from home and a high rate of 38% of matches without scoring a goal. Swindon surpasses the visitors in key home parameters: an average of 1.81 goals per match vs Crewe's 1.25 away, better shot conversion (15% vs 11%), and greater ball possession (52% vs 50%). Although Crewe shows decent recent overall form, their weaknesses in away matches and Swindon's solid advantage at home speak in favor of a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the defensive stability of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Swindon Town · 2 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.45 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.3 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.56 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:2 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Swindon Town score 1.67 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.45. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Swindon Town's matches and 58% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.