Swindon Town vs Gillingham: match statistics
Swindon Town occupies a high 3rd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and a +5 goal difference. The hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches, winning 3 of them, indicating strong form. Gillingham, on the other hand, sits in 12th place and has earned just 0.8 points per game in their last 5 fixtures, failing to register a single win. The visitors have a tendency to draw (45% away draw rate), but their poor form and lower xG stats (1.14 vs 1.35 for the hosts) suggest struggles in front of goal. Given Swindon's possession advantage (51% vs 44%), clinical efficiency, and the distinct gap in form and league standing, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
Swindon Town vs Gillingham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Gillingham in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Swindon Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Gillingham: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.61 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Gillingham scores 1.35 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 52%, Gillingham 65%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 61%, Gillingham 39%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.43. Swindon Town: 12.6 shots per match, Gillingham: 12.9.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65. Gillingham: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 0-15 (9 goals). Gillingham: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town occupies a high 3rd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 55% win rate and a +5 goal difference. The hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game in their last 5 matches, winning 3 of them, indicating strong form. Gillingham, on the other hand, sits in 12th place and has earned just 0.8 points per game in their last 5 fixtures, failing to register a single win. The visitors have a tendency to draw (45% away draw rate), but their poor form and lower xG stats (1.14 vs 1.35 for the hosts) suggest struggles in front of goal. Given Swindon's possession advantage (51% vs 44%), clinical efficiency, and the distinct gap in form and league standing, the hosts are clear favorites for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.8 pts / match - Gillingham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.35 goals / match - Gillingham
Swindon Town scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Gillingham scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Gillingham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.17 pts / match - Gillingham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Gillingham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Gillingham?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 2:0 Gillingham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Gillingham?
Swindon Town score 1.61 goals per game on average and Gillingham 1.35. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Swindon Town's matches and 65% of Gillingham's.
What form are Swindon Town and Gillingham in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Gillingham 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Gillingham?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Gillingham: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.