Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons presents a significantly better form than Swindon Town, evidenced by 2.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to a mere 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and boast an impressive undefeated streak in their last five fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Swindon has won only once during the same period. MK Dons stands out with a much higher goal-scoring efficiency on the road (2.11 goals per match) and better shot conversion (18% vs 14%). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+18) compared to the hosts' home record (+12), along with a low percentage of matches without scoring (6% vs 17%), point to the offensive superiority of the Milton Keynes squad. Taking all statistics into account, Milton Keynes Dons has a realistic chance of victory, though Swindon's home pitch advantage might make it a closely contested match.
Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Swindon Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.64 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 58%, Milton Keynes Dons 61%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 64%, Milton Keynes Dons 56%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.40. Swindon Town: 12.5 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.2.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.86. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (14 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons presents a significantly better form than Swindon Town, evidenced by 2.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to a mere 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and boast an impressive undefeated streak in their last five fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Swindon has won only once during the same period. MK Dons stands out with a much higher goal-scoring efficiency on the road (2.11 goals per match) and better shot conversion (18% vs 14%). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+18) compared to the hosts' home record (+12), along with a low percentage of matches without scoring (6% vs 17%), point to the offensive superiority of the Milton Keynes squad. Taking all statistics into account, Milton Keynes Dons has a realistic chance of victory, though Swindon's home pitch advantage might make it a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Swindon Town · 2.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Swindon Town · 2 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town scores in 86% of matches (31 of 36 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of matches (32 of 36 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Swindon Town · 2.06 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 53%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 0 - 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:2 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Swindon Town score 1.64 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 2.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Swindon Town's matches and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Swindon Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.