Swindon Town vs Newport County: match statistics
Swindon Town presents significantly better form and table standing, occupying 3rd place with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 1.07, resulting in a +11 goal difference on home soil. Newport County sits in 23rd position with only 5 wins this season and a catastrophic away record – 64% losses, averaging 2 goals conceded per match, and a goal difference of -13. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.8 points per game vs 0.8), with Newport earning just 4 points in their last five outings. xG statistics confirm Swindon's advantage (1.39 vs 1.13 for the visitors), which, combined with superior possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (15% vs 10%), makes the hosts the clear favorite for this match.
Swindon Town vs Newport County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Newport County in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Swindon Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Newport County: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.67 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Newport County scores 1.00 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 53%, Newport County 55%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 63%, Newport County 59%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.19. Swindon Town: 12.7 shots per match, Newport County: 10.8.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.77. Newport County: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). Newport County: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town presents significantly better form and table standing, occupying 3rd place with an impressive record of 17 wins this season. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 1.07, resulting in a +11 goal difference on home soil. Newport County sits in 23rd position with only 5 wins this season and a catastrophic away record – 64% losses, averaging 2 goals conceded per match, and a goal difference of -13. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the hosts (1.8 points per game vs 0.8), with Newport earning just 4 points in their last five outings. xG statistics confirm Swindon's advantage (1.39 vs 1.13 for the visitors), which, combined with superior possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (15% vs 10%), makes the hosts the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.8 pts / match - Newport County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1 goals / match - Newport County
Swindon Town is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.86 goals / match - Newport County
Swindon Town scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Newport County keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Newport County scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Newport County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.76 pts / match - Newport County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Newport County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Newport County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Newport County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Newport County?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 2:0 Newport County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Newport County?
Swindon Town score 1.67 goals per game on average and Newport County 1.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Swindon Town's matches and 55% of Newport County's.
What form are Swindon Town and Newport County in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Newport County 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Newport County?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Newport County: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.