Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic: match statistics
Swindon Town shows solid home form with a 57% win rate at their ground and an impressive average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, confirming their promotion aspirations, although their recent overall form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some concerns. Oldham Athletic has a balanced away record (31% wins, 38% draws), but the high FTS% rate of 38% is concerning, indicating difficulties in scoring away from home. A key factor is Swindon's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 45%) and their superior home goal difference (+8). Considering the xG statistics, where Swindon has 1.39 xG For at home compared to Oldham's 1.54 xG For away, I expect a balanced match with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage.
Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Oldham Athletic in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Swindon Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Oldham Athletic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.62 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Oldham Athletic scores 1.04 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 55%, Oldham Athletic 44%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 62%, Oldham Athletic 41%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Oldham Athletic has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.45. Swindon Town: 12.8 shots per match, Oldham Athletic: 13.9.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.72. Oldham Athletic: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (12 goals). Oldham Athletic: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town shows solid home form with a 57% win rate at their ground and an impressive average of 1.71 goals per match. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, confirming their promotion aspirations, although their recent overall form (2 wins in 5 matches) raises some concerns. Oldham Athletic has a balanced away record (31% wins, 38% draws), but the high FTS% rate of 38% is concerning, indicating difficulties in scoring away from home. A key factor is Swindon's advantage in ball possession (52% vs 45%) and their superior home goal difference (+8). Considering the xG statistics, where Swindon has 1.39 xG For at home compared to Oldham's 1.54 xG For away, I expect a balanced match with a slight edge for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Oldham Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oldham Athletic is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.4 pts / match - Oldham Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.04 goals / match - Oldham Athletic
Oldham Athletic is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Swindon Town · 0.96 goals / match - Oldham Athletic
Swindon Town scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Oldham Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Oldham Athletic scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Oldham Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Swindon Town · 0.96 pts / match - Oldham Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oldham Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Oldham Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Oldham Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 76% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 0 Oldham Athletic. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 3:0 Oldham Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
Swindon Town score 1.62 goals per game on average and Oldham Athletic 1.04. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Swindon Town's matches and 44% of Oldham Athletic's.
What form are Swindon Town and Oldham Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Oldham Athletic 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Oldham Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.