Swindon Town vs Walsall: match statistics
Swindon Town vs Walsall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Walsall in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Swindon Town: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Walsall: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 0.90 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Walsall scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 40%, Walsall 44%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 50%, Walsall 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Walsall has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.09. Swindon Town: 9.4 shots per match, Walsall: 14.0.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.60. Walsall: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (3 goals). Walsall: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon have won 60% of their home matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game, but their current form is considerably weaker: they have scored just once in their last five matches and are yet to win. Walsall sit 5th, compared with the hosts in 17th, and concede an average of 0.8 goals away from home while keeping a clean sheet in 40% of their matches. However, the visitors have drawn as many as 80% of their away games, which weakens the case for a Walsall win. Swindon could pose a threat, with a home xG of 1.33, while Walsall allow chances worth an average of 1.97 xG on the road. The hosts’ recent lack of goals and Walsall’s tendency to draw away from home make a share of the points the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Swindon’s scoring record: they have averaged just 0.2 goals in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 50% of their home games. Swindon have also kept a clean sheet in 75% of home matches, while Walsall average 1.4 goals away from home, which makes it less certain that the visitors will score. Historically, both teams have scored in 25% of Swindon’s home matches and 60% of Walsall’s away matches, so the data for this fixture do not point to a clear-cut outcome. The risk to the BTTS - No pick is Walsall’s defence, which has conceded an average of 1.6 goals in its last 5 matches. However, the hosts’ poor current scoring form tips the balance towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: 75% of Swindon’s home matches and 80% of Walsall’s away matches finished below this line. In their last 5 matches, Swindon averaged just 0.2 goals scored and Walsall 1.0; Over 2.5 goals landed in 0% and 20% of those matches, respectively. However, caution is warranted: Swindon average 1.81 xG at home, while Walsall concede chances worth 1.97 xG away, giving the hosts scoring potential despite their poor finishing. The 2.25-goal forecast accounts for this potential but still gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the more demanding Under 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Swindon were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Walsall were level at half-time in 4 of their 5 away games. The hosts have averaged just 0.2 goals in the first half across their last five matches, while the visitors have yet to concede in the first half of an away game. A draw after 90 minutes is supported by Walsall drawing 80% of their away matches and Swindon remaining unbeaten at home. However, the hosts’ form is a concern—they have earned just 0.2 points per game in their last five matches—so a Walsall win after a level first half remains a significant alternative. Even so, Walsall’s away average of 1.4 points and Swindon’s home average of 2.0 points do not provide strong enough grounds to favour this outcome over a draw at both half-time and full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Walsall is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.4 pts / match - Walsall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Walsall is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.33 goals / match - Walsall
Walsall is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Swindon Town · 0.67 goals / match - Walsall
Swindon Town scores in 40% of matches (4 of 10 matches), while Walsall keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
Walsall scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Walsall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Walsall is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.67 pts / match - Walsall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Walsall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Walsall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.30 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 28% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 1 Walsall. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Walsall?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:1 Walsall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Walsall?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Town won 1, Walsall won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Swindon Town score 0.90 goals per game on average and Walsall 1.33. The EFL League Two average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Swindon Town's matches and 44% of Walsall's.
What form are Swindon Town and Walsall in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Walsall 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Walsall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.