Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar: match statistics
Sydney FC is showing significantly better home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +7 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.86 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.86, giving them both offensive and defensive superiority. Brisbane Roar wins only 30% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.3 goals while scoring just 1, and their negative goal difference (-3) on the road confirms efficiency issues. Sydney FC's higher average xG (1.97 vs 1.3) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%) further support the hosts. Although both teams have identical PPG in their last 5 matches (0.8), Sydney FC at home remains the favorite in this encounter.
Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sydney FC played Brisbane Roar in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sydney FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Brisbane Roar: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sydney FC scores 1.41 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Brisbane Roar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sydney FC 35%, Brisbane Roar 50%. Over 2.5: Sydney FC 47%, Brisbane Roar 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Sydney FC has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.37. Sydney FC: 16.1 shots per match, Brisbane Roar: 13.2.
Match halves
Sydney FC: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 1.06. Brisbane Roar: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Sydney FC: 46-60 (7 goals). Brisbane Roar: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sydney FC is showing significantly better home form with a 57% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +7 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.86 goals per match at home, while conceding only 0.86, giving them both offensive and defensive superiority. Brisbane Roar wins only 30% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.3 goals while scoring just 1, and their negative goal difference (-3) on the road confirms efficiency issues. Sydney FC's higher average xG (1.97 vs 1.3) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%) further support the hosts. Although both teams have identical PPG in their last 5 matches (0.8), Sydney FC at home remains the favorite in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sydney FC | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sydney FC is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Sydney FC · 1 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Sydney FC is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Sydney FC · 1.28 goals / match - Brisbane Roar
Sydney FC scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Brisbane Roar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Brisbane Roar scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Sydney FC keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sydney FC
Over / Under - Brisbane Roar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brisbane Roar is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Sydney FC · 1.28 pts / match - Brisbane Roar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sydney FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brisbane Roar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sydney FC
Brisbane Roar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Sydney FC | Liga | Brisbane Roar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The A-League match finished Sydney FC 1:0 Brisbane Roar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar?
Sydney FC score 1.41 goals per game on average and Brisbane Roar 1.00. The A-League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Sydney FC's matches and 50% of Brisbane Roar's.
What form are Sydney FC and Brisbane Roar in?
Over the last 5 games Sydney FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Brisbane Roar 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar?
The statistical background for Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.