Szeged 2011 vs Gyirmót: match statistics

Gyirmót sit 2nd in the table, while Szeged 2011 are only 14th, and the difference is reflected in their records so far: the visitors have two wins and a draw without a defeat, whereas the hosts have managed just one draw and one loss. Gyirmót are enjoying an excellent run of form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and drawing one, which equates to an average of 2.6 points per game. During this period, the visitors scored 12 goals—three times as many as Szeged 2011, who have netted 4 goals in their last five appearances. Gyirmót’s defence also looks more reliable in the current campaign: they have conceded 4 goals in 3 matches, while Szeged 2011 have scored just 1 goal in 2 rounds so far. The advantage in form, attacking efficiency and league position clearly points to a higher probability of an away win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome given the early stage of the season.

BTTS - No is the stronger scenario, as Szeged 2011 have scored an average of just 0.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while both teams have conceded relatively few goals during this period: 0.6 and 0.8 per game, respectively. The hosts recorded BTTS in only 20% of their last five appearances, clearly below Gyirmót’s 60%, primarily indicating the risk that Szeged will fail to score. Gyirmót are in excellent form, having scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches and recording a run of four wins and a draw, so they have solid grounds to find the net. At the same time, their average xG from recent matches stands at 1.31, while the hosts’ defense allows opponents just 0.83 xG, limiting the chances of an open game with goals at both ends. Szeged’s seasonal 100% BTTS record is a positive signal for the Yes option, but current form and the hosts’ significantly lower attacking efficiency suggest that at least one team will finish the match without scoring.

Szeged’s latest form points to low-scoring games: in their last 5 matches, the team averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.6. Gyirmót are far more effective in attack, averaging 2.4 goals per game over this period, while their average goals conceded is only 0.8. The chance-quality metrics are more balanced than the visitors’ recent results alone suggest: Szeged’s xG stands at 1.37 and Gyirmót’s at 1.31, with 0.83 and 1.05 xG conceded, respectively. The projected total of 2.35 goals remains below the 3.5 line, while the league average of 2.48 also does not support a four-goal scenario. Therefore, Under 3.5 offers the greatest edge, although Gyirmót’s strong form in front of goal keeps the possibility of at least two goals in the match realistic.

Gyirmót are in clearly better current form: they have won 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Szeged have won only 20% of their games and averaged just 0.8 goals scored. During this period, the hosts failed to score before half-time in 4 of 5 matches, with their first-half average standing at just 0.2 goals. However, a draw at half-time is a realistic outcome, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their recent matches, while Gyirmót held the lead at the break in 40%. After the interval, the visitors increase their intensity, averaging 1.4 goals in the second half compared with Szeged’s 0.6. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Gyirmót win at full-time (X/2).