Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II: match statistics
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tacoma Defiance played Houston Dynamo FC II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 18 June 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tacoma Defiance: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Houston Dynamo FC II: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tacoma Defiance scores 1.00 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Houston Dynamo FC II scores 2.42 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tacoma Defiance 38%, Houston Dynamo FC II 50%. Over 2.5: Tacoma Defiance 54%, Houston Dynamo FC II 58%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo FC II has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.36. Tacoma Defiance: 11.6 shots per match, Houston Dynamo FC II: 14.8.
Match halves
Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Houston Dynamo FC II: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (4 goals). Houston Dynamo FC II: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — Houston Dynamo FC II; they sit 2nd in the table versus Tacoma Defiance’s 24th and record 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, while Tacoma have 3 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. Offensively Houston clearly dominates: 29 goals this season and an average of 2.0 goals on the road versus Tacoma’s 13 goals and 1.14 average at home; in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 12 goals, the hosts only 5. Houston averages 14.38 shots and 6.38 on target per away match with a conversion rate around 14%, while Tacoma at home average 12.14 shots and 4.86 on target with a conversion around 9%; additionally Tacoma failed to score in 43% of their home games, whereas Houston have 0% such away matches. Defensively both teams concede on average 1.0 goal per match, however Houston have a better away goal difference (+8) and higher attacking xG 1.72 versus Tacoma’s 1.47 at home; Houston allow opponent xG of 1.9, which suggests opponents create many chances, but the visitors deal with them effectively, conceding only 1.0 actual goal per game. Considering 29 vs 13 goals, the advantage in shots on target (6.38 vs 4.86) and conversion (14% vs 9%), as well as the better points average in the last 5 matches (2.0 vs 1.4), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS comes from Houston: season BTTS rate is 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game in those five (12 goals) and conceding 1.2 on average. The league overall records 62% of matches with both teams scoring and an average of 3.23 goals per match, which supports a both-teams-to-score scenario. Tacoma has a season BTTS of 0% and 100% clean sheets, but in the last 5 their BTTS rose to 20% with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (5 for, 6 against), so the defensive setup is less stable than season figures suggest. xG comparison shows that in the last 5 Houston has xG_for 1.73 versus xG_against_home 1.44 (visitors create realistic chances), while Tacoma has last5 xG_for 1.23 versus xG_against_away 1.5, so the home side also has some scoring potential. Based on this I assign 70% to BTTS = Yes and 30% to BTTS = No, because the combination of the 75%/80% guest trend, the league 62% and the specific xG and goal averages (2.4 vs 1.2) produces a stronger signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects approximately 1.84 xG for Tacoma and 1.29 xG for Houston, totaling ~3.13 goals. Both teams regularly exceed the 1.5-goal threshold: Tacoma has 100% of matches over 1.5 this season, and Houston 88%. Tacoma averages 15.75 shots with 6.0 on target and has a 21% conversion rate, while Houston averages 14.38 shots with 6.38 on target and a 14% conversion, supporting a higher score; in the last 5 matches the combined goals per game average is 2.2 for Tacoma and 3.6 for Houston. Consequently the strongest market signal is Over 1.5 (over 90% probability), Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~72%), whereas the 3.5 line leans to Under (~64%), since the expected 3.13 goals remain below 3.5 and historical Over3.5 shares are 50% for Tacoma and 38% for Houston.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tacoma averages 3.25 goals per match and concedes no goals at home (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0; seasonCSPercentage_home 100.0), which strongly favors a home victory. At half-time the hosts average 1.25 goals and lead in 50% of matches (scoredAVGHT_home 1.25; leadingAtHTPercentage_home 50.0), while Houston has 0.75 goals at the break and concedes 0.25 (scoredAVGHT_away 0.75; concededAVGHT_away 0.25), so Tacoma’s advantage is already evident before half-time. Tacoma scored 3 goals in minutes 31–45 versus 2 for Houston (goals_scored_min_31_to_45_home 3.0 vs goals_scored_min_31_to_45_away 2.0), increasing the likelihood of a host goal before the end of the first half. Additionally the hosts have a slightly higher xG (xg_for_avg_home 1.77 vs 1.72), better defensive xG conceded (xg_against_avg_home 0.86 vs xg_against_avg_away 1.9) and higher shot conversion rate (21.0% vs 14.0%), therefore the most likely scenario is Tacoma leading at half-time and holding on to win (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tacoma Defiance | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance · 2 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 142% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance · 2.42 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Houston Dynamo FC II is 118% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance · 0.67 goals / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Tacoma Defiance scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Houston Dynamo FC II keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
Houston Dynamo FC II scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tacoma Defiance
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo FC II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Houston Dynamo FC II is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance · 1.75 pts / match - Houston Dynamo FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Houston Dynamo FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tacoma Defiance
Houston Dynamo FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Tacoma Defiance | Liga | Houston Dynamo FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 3.25 | ▼ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 21% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 75% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Tacoma Defiance 2 - 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo FC II. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Tacoma Defiance 2:1 Houston Dynamo FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tacoma Defiance and Houston Dynamo FC II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tacoma Defiance won 2, Houston Dynamo FC II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Tacoma Defiance score 1.00 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo FC II 2.42. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tacoma Defiance's matches and 50% of Houston Dynamo FC II's.
What form are Tacoma Defiance and Houston Dynamo FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Tacoma Defiance have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Houston Dynamo FC II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
The statistical background for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.