Paraguay - Division IntermediaEstadio Toribio VargasData current as of 17 October 2026

Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tacuary play Independiente FBC in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match date is 20 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas.

Current form

Tacuary: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Independiente FBC: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tacuary scores 1.14 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Independiente FBC scores 1.54 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tacuary 64%, Independiente FBC 57%. Over 2.5: Tacuary 54%, Independiente FBC 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Independiente FBC has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.25. Tacuary: 8.4 shots per match, Independiente FBC: 10.4.

Match halves

Tacuary: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68. Independiente FBC: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Tacuary: 76-90+ (9 goals). Independiente FBC: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Intermedia: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.72)
(3.52)
(1.80)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.14Goals scored / match1.54
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.68Goals conceded / match1.25
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47%Average possession51%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
3.54Shots on target / match4.11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.43Shots per match10.43
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
3.54Shots on target4.11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
13.6%Shot conversion14.7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47%Possession51%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.25xG for1.42
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.53xG against1.36
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Shooting quality

Tacuary: Counter-attackingIndependiente FBC: Efficient finishing
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
Accuracy (shots on target)42%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Independiente FBC is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Tacuary · 2.4 pts / match - Independiente FBC

Tacuary
LDWLL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-12-12
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-7
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Independiente FBC
WWLWW
Season result split
39% W36% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-7
1.54 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Independiente FBC is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.54 goals / match - Independiente FBC

Independiente FBC is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.25 goals / match - Independiente FBC

Tacuary scoring profile: strong

Tacuary scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Independiente FBC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).

Independiente FBC scoring profile: very strong

Independiente FBC scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).

32Goals scored (season)43
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
47Goals conceded (season)35
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
2.82Average goals in match2.79
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7Goals scored (last 5)11
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
10Goals conceded (last 5)3
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%2 goals54%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%3 goals14%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%4 goals4%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
57%2 goals39%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
21%3 goals11%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%4 goals7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
Independiente FBC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 28 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time32%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%BTTS in both halves4%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
11%Scored in both halves25%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
80%BTTS - last 520%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Independiente FBC is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Tacuary · 1.14 pts / match - Independiente FBC

Tacuary - half-time state
18% leading46% draw36% trailing
Independiente FBC - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.14
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.71
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.18Average goals (1st half)1.5
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Clean sheet before half-time50%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
61%No goal before half-time50%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.57
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
1.64Average goals (2nd half)1.29
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
36%Clean sheet after half-time64%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC
57%No goal after half-time43%
TacuaryIndependiente FBC

Tacuary - second-half results

25% W36% D39% L
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding78%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Independiente FBC - second-half results

39% W39% D21% L
32
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tacuary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Independiente FBC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.82.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tacuary
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
3
8
16-30
5
10
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Independiente FBC
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
9
16-30
9
10
31-45
3
3
46-60
9
1
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tacuary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Independiente FBC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).

Teams vs league

TacuaryLigaIndependiente FBC
Average goals in match▲ 2.822.64▲ 2.79
Both teams scored▲ 64%57%• 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 54%47%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 18%25%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 75%67%• 68%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%75%• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Tacuary 2 - 1 - 0 Independiente FBC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Independiente FBC
2 : 2
Tacuary
Tacuary FC
1 : 0
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
Independiente FBC Campo Grande
0 : 1
Tacuary FC

FAQ

When do Tacuary and Independiente FBC play?

Tacuary face Independiente FBC on 20 October 2026 in Division Intermedia at Estadio Toribio Vargas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tacuary and Independiente FBC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 2, Independiente FBC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Independiente FBC?

Tacuary score 1.14 goals per game on average and Independiente FBC 1.54. The Division Intermedia average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Tacuary's matches and 57% of Independiente FBC's.

What form are Tacuary and Independiente FBC in?

Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Independiente FBC 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Independiente FBC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tacuary vs Independiente FBC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.