Tacuary vs Paraguarí: match statistics
Tacuary vs Paraguarí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tacuary played Paraguarí in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Tacuary: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paraguarí: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tacuary scores 1.11 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Paraguarí scores 1.33 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tacuary 63%, Paraguarí 56%. Over 2.5: Tacuary 52%, Paraguarí 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Paraguarí has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.22. Tacuary: 8.2 shots per match, Paraguarí: 9.7.
Match halves
Tacuary: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.63. Paraguarí: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Tacuary: 76-90+ (7 goals). Paraguarí: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paraguarí head into the match in clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 games and scored 11 goals in that run, while Tacuary have recorded 1 win and scored 6 goals. The visitors are also higher in the table, sitting 8th compared with the hosts in 15th, and create slightly better chances away from home: their average xG is 1.41, compared with Tacuary's 1.36 at home. However, Paraguarí's advantage is not decisive, as both teams have won just 23% of their matches away and at home, respectively. Moreover, the visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals on the road, more than Tacuary's 1.46 at home. So despite their edge in recent form, a draw or a home win remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches involving the two teams, both sides scored in 80% of games, a clear signal in favour of BTTS - Yes. Tacuary average 1.43 goals at home, while Paraguarí score 1.23 away, giving both teams a solid basis to find the net. The visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in just 15% of matches, which particularly boosts the hosts’ scoring prospects. Meanwhile, Tacuary have conceded an average of 1.4 goals across their last 5 matches, while Paraguarí have scored 2.2 goals per game. Some caution is warranted because the visitors have failed to score in 31% of their away matches, but the overall data points towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tacuary average 1.43 goals per match, while Paraguarí concede 1.69, supporting the case for the hosts to score at least once. The visitors average 1.23 goals, and have scored 11 times across their last five matches, although their xG over that span was just 1.09 per match. At least two goals were scored in 57% of Tacuary’s matches and 77% of Paraguarí’s, while both teams scored in 80% of each side’s last five games. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick; the higher Over 2.5 line is less well supported by full-season data, having landed in 43% and 54% of their matches, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Tacuary were level at the break in 57% of their matches, compared with 38% for Paraguarí. Although the hosts won more often than the visitors over the full season (57% versus 23%), the last five matches shift the picture: Paraguarí won four, while Tacuary won just one. The visitors averaged 2.2 goals per match over this period, compared with 1.2 for the hosts, increasing the likelihood that they will edge a closely contested game. Their post-half-time form is particularly strong: they won the second half in four of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals in that period, while Tacuary scored 0.8. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Paraguarí win at full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, although Tacuary’s season-long results still point to a significant chance of a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tacuary | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paraguarí is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Tacuary · 2.4 pts / match - Paraguarí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paraguarí is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.33 goals / match - Paraguarí
Paraguarí is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.3 goals / match - Paraguarí
Tacuary scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Paraguarí keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Paraguarí scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tacuary
Over / Under - Paraguarí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paraguarí is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Tacuary · 1.15 pts / match - Paraguarí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacuary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paraguarí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tacuary
Paraguarí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Tacuary | Liga | Paraguarí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.59 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TacuaryGoalNéstor Fabián Bareiro Leguizamón
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tacuary 1 - 0 - 0 Paraguarí. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
The Division Intermedia match finished Tacuary 2:4 Paraguarí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
Tacuary score 1.11 goals per game on average and Paraguarí 1.33. The Division Intermedia average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Tacuary's matches and 56% of Paraguarí's.
What form are Tacuary and Paraguarí in?
Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paraguarí 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Paraguarí?
The statistical background for Tacuary vs Paraguarí — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.