Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: match statistics
Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tacuary played Sportivo Carapeguá in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 31 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Toribio Vargas. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Tacuary: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Sportivo Carapeguá: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tacuary scores 0.89 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Sportivo Carapeguá scores 1.11 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tacuary 56%, Sportivo Carapeguá 44%. Over 2.5: Tacuary 44%, Sportivo Carapeguá 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Tacuary has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.07. Tacuary: 7.1 shots per match, Sportivo Carapeguá: 7.7.
Match halves
Tacuary: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Sportivo Carapeguá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Tacuary: 76-90+ (3 goals). Sportivo Carapeguá: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Sportivo Carapeguá). Tacuary has not won a single home match this season (0% wins), recording 5 draws and 4 losses, scoring on average 0.75 goals and conceding 1.75 goals per home match. Sportivo sits 8th of 16. Tacuary has 4 wins this season and on the road averages 7.4 shots with 2.8 on target, averaging 1.0 goals away and xG for = 1.08 versus home xG = 0.92. Both teams have defensive issues (average 1.75 goals conceded at home vs 2.2 for the away side, xG against 1.51 vs 1.71), but the edge for the visitors comes from a higher volume of shots and better efficiency (conversion 14% vs 13%). Although Tacuary scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches (vs 4 for Sportivo), both teams have been collecting only 0.8 points per game in that period, so the visitors remain favorites due to a superior seasonal win record and chance-creation metrics.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate both teams have the capacity to score: Tacuary averages 1.25 goals this season (1.4 in the last 5 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá has a season average of 1.00 (0.8 in the last 5). The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is the visitors' weak defense — Carapeguá concedes 2.20 goals on average this season with xG against 1.71, and Tacuary has recently conceded 1.6 goals across five matches, increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The counterargument is that Tacuary has 50% clean sheets this season, and the league shows a high clean sheet rate of 65% and an overall BTTS of 46%, which reduces the probability of both scoring. Additionally, both teams generate similar xG (0.95 vs 1.08) and shot volumes (Tacuary 6.25 with 3.5 on target, Carapeguá 7.4 with 2.8 on target), while shot conversion of 20% versus 14% favors the home side in chance conversion. Weighing all signals (80% BTTS for Tacuary in the last 5 matches, Carapeguá’s poor defense 2.20 goals conceded and xG against 1.71) I assess BTTS probability at 62% for 'Yes' and 38% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total goals at about 2.32 (home 1.33, away 0.99), calculated from xG: Tacuary attack 0.95 vs Sportivo defense 1.71 and away attack 1.08 vs home defense 0.90. Tacuary averages 6.25 shots per game, including 3.5 on target, and has a 20% conversion rate, translating to a seasonal average of 1.25 goals; Sportivo Carapeguá concedes on average 2.2 goals per game (15 conceded this season), indicating defensive vulnerability. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal, and in the last 5 matches Tacuary averaged 1.4 goals and 80% of their last five games were Over 2.5 goals. Based on a probability distribution with lambda = 2.32 I assess the chances of Over 1.5 at about 67%, Over 2.5 at 41% and Over 3.5 at 20%, therefore the best line to play appears to be Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches (75%) and average 0.75 goals by half-time, while Sportivo Carapeguá average 0.0 first-half goals, strongly favoring Tacuary before the interval. Tacuary win 75% of matches at home versus just 20% away wins for the visitors, and at the halfway point the hosts have accumulated 9 points compared to the visitors’ 2 points, so maintaining the lead to Full-Time is highly likely. Although the visitors’ attacking xG is 1.08 versus 0.95 for the hosts, the visitors concede 1.71 xG on average (vs 0.90 for the hosts) and have a lower shot conversion rate (14% vs 20%), meaning Tacuary converts their chances more efficiently. Additionally, over the last five matches the hosts have averaged 1.2 second-half goals versus 0.6 for the visitors, so the most probable scenario is a Half-Time/Full-Time lead at half-time and a home win (1/1 ~60%), with smaller chances of a draw at full-time (1/X 10%) or a late turnaround by the visitors (e.g. 2/1 15%, 2/2 5%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tacuary | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.11 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Tacuary is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Tacuary · 1.67 goals / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Tacuary scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Sportivo Carapeguá keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Sportivo Carapeguá scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Tacuary keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tacuary
Over / Under - Sportivo Carapeguá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Carapeguá is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Tacuary · 1.22 pts / match - Sportivo Carapeguá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tacuary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sportivo Carapeguá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tacuary
Sportivo Carapeguá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Tacuary | Liga | Sportivo Carapeguá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- TacuaryGoalAlcides Javier Valdez Torres
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Tacuary 1 - 1 - 0 Sportivo Carapeguá. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
The Division Intermedia match finished Tacuary 2:2 Sportivo Carapeguá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tacuary and Sportivo Carapeguá?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1, Sportivo Carapeguá won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Tacuary score 0.89 goals per game on average and Sportivo Carapeguá 1.11. The Division Intermedia average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tacuary's matches and 44% of Sportivo Carapeguá's.
What form are Tacuary and Sportivo Carapeguá in?
Over the last 5 games Tacuary have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Sportivo Carapeguá 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tacuary vs Sportivo Carapeguá: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.