Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel: match statistics
Shabab Al Sahel appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. Tadamon Sour are in very poor form, having failed to win any of their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The hosts have a zero win percentage in home matches this season, along with an alarming 67% of home games without scoring a goal. Shabab Al Sahel, despite their away struggles (60% loss rate), boast significantly better offensive statistics: averaging 2.2 shots on target per away match compared to the hosts' 0.8, as well as a higher xG (1.16 vs 0.55). The visitors have averaged 1.4 points per game over their last five matches, winning two, which indicates better current form. Considering Shabab Al Sahel's qualitative and statistical advantage, along with Tadamon Sour's dreadful form, I back the away win, although I anticipate a closely contested match due to both teams' struggles.
Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tadamon Sour played Shabab Al Sahel in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tadamon Sour: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Shabab Al Sahel: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tadamon Sour scores 0.58 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Shabab Al Sahel scores 0.83 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tadamon Sour 25%, Shabab Al Sahel 25%. Over 2.5: Tadamon Sour 25%, Shabab Al Sahel 25%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Shabab Al Sahel has higher xG: 1.04 vs 0.77. Tadamon Sour: 3.9 shots per match, Shabab Al Sahel: 7.4.
Match halves
Tadamon Sour: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Shabab Al Sahel: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Tadamon Sour: 16-30 (2 goals). Shabab Al Sahel: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shabab Al Sahel appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. Tadamon Sour are in very poor form, having failed to win any of their last five matches and averaging just 0.4 points per game. The hosts have a zero win percentage in home matches this season, along with an alarming 67% of home games without scoring a goal. Shabab Al Sahel, despite their away struggles (60% loss rate), boast significantly better offensive statistics: averaging 2.2 shots on target per away match compared to the hosts' 0.8, as well as a higher xG (1.16 vs 0.55). The visitors have averaged 1.4 points per game over their last five matches, winning two, which indicates better current form. Considering Shabab Al Sahel's qualitative and statistical advantage, along with Tadamon Sour's dreadful form, I back the away win, although I anticipate a closely contested match due to both teams' struggles.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tadamon Sour | Shabab Al Sahel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shabab Al Sahel is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Tadamon Sour · 1.4 pts / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shabab Al Sahel is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
0.58 goals / match - Tadamon Sour · 0.83 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Shabab Al Sahel is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Tadamon Sour · 0.75 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Tadamon Sour scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Shabab Al Sahel keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
Shabab Al Sahel scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Tadamon Sour keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tadamon Sour
Over / Under - Shabab Al Sahel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tadamon Sour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shabab Al Sahel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tadamon Sour
Shabab Al Sahel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tadamon Sour | Liga | Shabab Al Sahel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.24 | ▼ 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 29% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 57% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tadamon SourAssistIchaka Diarra
- Shabab Al SahelGoalVictor Sam Abata
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tadamon Sour 0 - 1 - 0 Shabab Al Sahel. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Tadamon Sour 1:2 Shabab Al Sahel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Tadamon Sour score 0.58 goals per game on average and Shabab Al Sahel 0.83. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Tadamon Sour's matches and 25% of Shabab Al Sahel's.
What form are Tadamon Sour and Shabab Al Sahel in?
Over the last 5 games Tadamon Sour have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Shabab Al Sahel 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel?
The statistical background for Tadamon Sour vs Shabab Al Sahel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.