Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Talleres Córdoba played Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 30 July 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Talleres Córdoba: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Talleres Córdoba scores 1.00 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Talleres Córdoba 47%, Vélez Sarsfield 47%. Over 2.5: Talleres Córdoba 35%, Vélez Sarsfield 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Vélez Sarsfield has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.36. Talleres Córdoba: 11.9 shots per match, Vélez Sarsfield: 12.7.
Match halves
Talleres Córdoba: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.53. Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Talleres Córdoba: 76-90+ (4 goals). Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
In my assessment the favorites are the visitors – Vélez Sarsfield. Vélez scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (average 1.6 points per match), while Talleres have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 games and recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (average 0.4 points per match). Talleres dominate possession (59% vs 53%), take more shots (13.38 vs 10.5) and have a higher home xG (1.49 vs visitors’ away xG 1.25), which shows the hosts create more chances. However, Vélez is significantly more efficient in finishing (conversion 11% vs 8%) and are less likely to fail to register a shot away (FTS 13% vs 38%), and also have 50% clean sheets on the road versus Talleres’ 38%, which, combined with the hosts’ recent poor finishing (1 goal in 5 matches), gives the visitors the edge. For these reasons I give higher chances to a Vélez win, moderate chances for a draw and lower chances for Talleres.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - No. Talleres displays a clear finishing issue: in the last 5 matches they averaged 0.2 goals (1 goal total), while their recent xG was 1.41 and season shot conversion is only 7%. Vélez is in better attacking form — averaging 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches (6 goals total), season xG 1.25 and conversion 11% — so they are more likely to be the scoring side. Clean sheets are common: Talleres has clean sheets in 40% of matches, Vélez 50%; season BTTS rates are 40% and 50%; in the last 5 matches BTTS dropped to 20% (Talleres) and 40% (Vélez), which lowers the probability of both teams scoring. Defensive xG comparison (Talleres concedes 1.51 xG, Vélez 1.48 xG) plus form (Talleres 'ddlll', Vélez 'dwdlw') further suggests Talleres may remain goalless, strengthening the signal for No. Based on this I assess 70% chance for No and 30% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging the teams' offensive xG and opponents' xG conceded yields expected goals: Talleres 1.56 (offensive xG 1.64 vs Vélez conceded xG 1.48), Vélez 1.38 (offensive xG 1.25 vs Talleres conceded xG 1.51), total 2.94. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.94 gives P(≥2)≈79%, P(≥3)≈56% and P(≥4)≈34%, hence Over 1.5 = 79%, Over 2.5 = 56%, Over 3.5 = 34%. Support for a higher-goal outcome comes from a combined 8.2 on-target shots (4.7+3.5), 24.4 total shots (13.9+10.5) and Vélez’s higher conversion rate 11% vs Talleres 7%, as well as both teams scoring in 40% (Talleres) and 50% (Vélez) of matches this season. Although historically Over 2.5 has been infrequent (30% for Talleres and 13% for Vélez), the xG advantage and volume of chance-creating metrics clearly point to the Over side, with the strongest signal for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: the home side led at the break in 40% of their matches and won 50% of home games, giving them a realistic chance of maintaining their lead. Talleres generates higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.25 for Vélez) and records more shots (13.9 vs 10.5) and shots on target (4.7 vs 3.5), so they create more goal-scoring opportunities. Although Vélez has the better recent run (form dwdlw vs ddlll) and scored more first-half goals in the last 5 matches (6 vs 2), the season-long first-half metrics favor the hosts — Talleres concedes on average 0.3 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for Vélez and has 70% of first halves without conceding. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (~29%), with a significant alternative of X/1 (~16%) if the first half ends level, while the 2/2 scenario is rated lower (~15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Talleres Córdoba | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Talleres Córdoba is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Talleres Córdoba · 1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Talleres Córdoba · 1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Talleres Córdoba · 0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Talleres Córdoba scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Talleres Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Talleres Córdoba
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Talleres Córdoba is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Talleres Córdoba · 1.35 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Talleres Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Talleres Córdoba
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Talleres Córdoba | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Talleres Córdoba 2 - 0 - 2 Vélez Sarsfield. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Talleres Córdoba 1:3 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Talleres Córdoba and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Talleres Córdoba won 2, Vélez Sarsfield won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Talleres Córdoba score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Talleres Córdoba's matches and 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Talleres Córdoba and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Talleres Córdoba have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.