Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics
Tallinna FC Flora, as the league leader, shows an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and an average of 3 goals per home match. The hosts boast a significantly better shot conversion rate (14% vs 6% for the visitors) and a higher average xG in home games (2.43 vs 2.02 xG for the visitors away). Nõmme Kalju, despite their solid away form (100% wins), displays a decidedly more modest attacking potential, averaging just 1 goal per away match. Flora also holds an edge in shot statistics (22 vs 18 on average per match) and shots on target (8 vs 5). Taking all data into account, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defense of both teams (100% clean sheets each) may result in an even contest, hence a significant probability of a draw.
Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Flora play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.05 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.65 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 42%, Nõmme Kalju 50%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 79%, Nõmme Kalju 40%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.79. Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.0.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.21. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Tallinna FC Flora, as the league leader, shows an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and an average of 3 goals per home match. The hosts boast a significantly better shot conversion rate (14% vs 6% for the visitors) and a higher average xG in home games (2.43 vs 2.02 xG for the visitors away). Nõmme Kalju, despite their solid away form (100% wins), displays a decidedly more modest attacking potential, averaging just 1 goal per away match. Flora also holds an edge in shot statistics (22 vs 18 on average per match) and shots on target (8 vs 5). Taking all data into account, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defense of both teams (100% clean sheets each) may result in an even contest, hence a significant probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Flora | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Flora is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.2 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.65 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.8 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Nõmme Kalju scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Flora
Over / Under — Nõmme Kalju
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.75 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Flora
Nõmme Kalju
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Flora | Liga | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.16 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 66% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tallinna FC Flora 3 - 0 - 2 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Flora 0:1 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 3, Nõmme Kalju won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?
Tallinna FC Flora score 2.05 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 50% of Nõmme Kalju's.
What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.