Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of 13 September 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics

155%(2.15)
X25%(3.45)
220%(2.80)

Tallinna FC Flora, as the league leader, shows an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and an average of 3 goals per home match. The hosts boast a significantly better shot conversion rate (14% vs 6% for the visitors) and a higher average xG in home games (2.43 vs 2.02 xG for the visitors away). Nõmme Kalju, despite their solid away form (100% wins), displays a decidedly more modest attacking potential, averaging just 1 goal per away match. Flora also holds an edge in shot statistics (22 vs 18 on average per match) and shots on target (8 vs 5). Taking all data into account, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defense of both teams (100% clean sheets each) may result in an even contest, hence a significant probability of a draw.

Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Flora played Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Tallinna FC Flora: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Flora scores 3.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.00 and concedes 0.00. League average: 3.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 0%, Nõmme Kalju 0%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 100%, Nõmme Kalju 0%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.43 vs 2.02. Tallinna FC Flora: 22.0 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 18.0.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.00. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Flora: 0-15 (1 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 75%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Flora, as the league leader, shows an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and an average of 3 goals per home match. The hosts boast a significantly better shot conversion rate (14% vs 6% for the visitors) and a higher average xG in home games (2.43 vs 2.02 xG for the visitors away). Nõmme Kalju, despite their solid away form (100% wins), displays a decidedly more modest attacking potential, averaging just 1 goal per away match. Flora also holds an edge in shot statistics (22 vs 18 on average per match) and shots on target (8 vs 5). Taking all data into account, the hosts are the favorites, although the solid defense of both teams (100% clean sheets each) may result in an even contest, hence a significant probability of a draw.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
14Shots11
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Shots on target3
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.67xG1.38
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
9Corners7
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
108Dangerous attacks66
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
8Fouls13
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
2Cards2
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
3Goals scored / match1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Goals conceded / match0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
52%Average possession50%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
8Shots on target / match5
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

22Shots per match18
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
8Shots on target5
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
13.6%Shot conversion5.6%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
52%Possession50%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
2.43xG for2.02
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1.59xG against0.53
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: AttackingNõmme Kalju: Attacking
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
Accuracy (shots on target)36%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Flora
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.43Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 100%
Nõmme Kalju
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.02Opponent xG: 0.53BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

3 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: mixed

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: mixed

Nõmme Kalju scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

3Goals scored (season)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Goals conceded (season)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
3Average goals in match1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
3Goals scored (last 5)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Goals conceded (last 5)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%2 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%3 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%2 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%3 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%Scored in both halves0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%BTTS - last 50%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)3
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
2Goals scored (1st half)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
2Average goals (1st half)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%No goal before half-time0%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)1
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
1Average goals (2nd half)0
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju
0%No goal after half-time100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme Kalju

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.003.00
Goals scored / match2.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nõmme Kalju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.00
Goals scored / match1.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match1.00.0
1 goal100%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
57%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
0%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaNõmme Kalju
Average goals in match 3.003.50 1.00
Both teams scored 0%50% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%63% 0%
Clean sheets 100%25% 100%
Goal before half-time 100%75% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%88% 0%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
2.50
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+150%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+50%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
25%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardAndreas Vaher
  2. Tallinna FC FloraGoalAndreas Vaher
  3. Nõmme KaljuSubstitutionOn: Tiago Azevedo BaptistaOff: Kristjan Kask
  4. Tallinna FC FloraYellow cardMihhail Kolobov
  5. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Andero KaaresOff: Sander Alamaa
  6. Nõmme KaljuYellow cardDanyl Mashchenko
  7. Nõmme KaljuSubstitutionOn: Bogdan VaštšukOff: Oleksandr Musolitin
  8. Tallinna FC FloraSubstitutionOn: Oscar PihelaOff: Sander Tovstik
  9. Nõmme KaljuYellow cardMoudou Tambedou

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Tallinna FC Flora 2 - 0 - 2 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Nõmme Kalju FC
3 : 1
Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora
1 : 0
Nõmme Kalju FC
Tallinna FC Flora
2 : 3
Nõmme Kalju FC
Nõmme Kalju FC
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Flora

FAQ

What was the result of Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?

The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Flora 0:1 Nõmme Kalju. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 2, Nõmme Kalju won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?

Tallinna FC Flora score 3.00 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 0% of Nõmme Kalju's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme Kalju in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 1-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju?

The statistical background for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme Kalju — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.