Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Nõmme United 90%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.50. Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.9.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26. Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Tallinn FC Levadia to win; the home side averages 2 goals per game at home with an average xG of 2.32, 20.5 shots per game of which 6.5 are on target, and 60% possession, while their percentage of matches without conceding at home is 0%. Nõmme United have very poor away numbers: on average 0 goals per away game, 100% of away matches without scoring, conceding 3.0 goals per away game with xG against 2.43 versus xG for 1.59. The gulf in form and league position is clear — Levadia sit 2nd, have won 4 of their last 5 and average 2.6 points per game over the last five, while Nõmme are 5th with 1.2 points per game, recording 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games and have 0% home defeats, whereas the visitors have 0% clean sheets and 100% away defeats; shot conversion is 10% for the hosts versus 0% for the visitors, giving Levadia a marked advantage in chance creation and finishing. Based on these figures I assess the probability of a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Levadia is 174% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under — Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 3.11 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 95% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tallinna FC Levadia 1 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 1:1 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.58 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 90% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nõmme United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Nõmme United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.