Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia are displaying dominant form as the league leaders with two wins in two matches and an impressive goal difference of 5:1. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, maintaining a 100% record (2 wins) and keeping a clean sheet in every home match. Their advantage in ball possession (69%) and high average xG (3.13) compared to just 1.07 xG for their opponents demonstrates clear dominance. Meanwhile, Paide have a disastrous away record – 0 wins and 100% losses on the road, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in quality, particularly in the home matches of the hosts versus the away performances of the visitors, along with Levadia's superiority in key offensive and defensive statistics, unequivocally points to a certain victory for the home side.
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia played Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Paide: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Paide scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.36 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 50%, Paide 50%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 50%, Paide 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.97 vs 1.77. Tallinna FC Levadia: 26.5 shots per match, Paide: 14.0.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Paide: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (2 goals). Paide: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.36 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia are displaying dominant form as the league leaders with two wins in two matches and an impressive goal difference of 5:1. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, maintaining a 100% record (2 wins) and keeping a clean sheet in every home match. Their advantage in ball possession (69%) and high average xG (3.13) compared to just 1.07 xG for their opponents demonstrates clear dominance. Meanwhile, Paide have a disastrous away record – 0 wins and 100% losses on the road, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in quality, particularly in the home matches of the hosts versus the away performances of the visitors, along with Levadia's superiority in key offensive and defensive statistics, unequivocally points to a certain victory for the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 goals / match - Paide
Tallinna FC Levadia is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 goals / match - Paide
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Paide scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under - Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1 pts / match - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paide - second-half results
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.36 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tallinna FC Levadia 2 - 0 - 2 Paide. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 3:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Paide?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 2, Paide won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.50 goals per game on average and Paide 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 50% of Paide's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Paide 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.