Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia played Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 1.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 83%, Tallinna FC Flora 33%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 50%, Tallinna FC Flora 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.12 vs 2.03. Tallinna FC Levadia: 17.5 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 16.3.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (4 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Tallinna FC Levadia remain unbeaten at home (0% losses), with a home record of 50% wins and 50% draws and a positive goal differential of +3, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00 goals per match. Levadia create better chances — home xG is 1.96 versus Flora’s away xG of 1.91. The hosts average 5.0 shots on target from 16.25 total shots, while Flora average 3.5 on target from 15.5 total. Efficiency favors Levadia: the hosts’ shot conversion rate is 11% versus just 3% for Flora on the road, and Levadia have not had a goalless home game (0% games without a goal) compared to 50% for the visitors. Form and last-five stats also favour the hosts — Levadia scored 9 goals in their last 5 and average 1.8 points per game, while Flora have 5 goals in their last 5 and 1.2 points per game. Additionally, the visitors have not won away yet (0% wins, 100% losses) and concede 2.5 goals on average away, so I assign Levadia a 68% chance to win, a 20% chance of a draw and a 12% chance of a Flora victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Levadia scores an average of 1.75 goals at home this season, has 4.5 shots on target and a conversion rate of 10%, whereas Flora has only 0.5 goals away, 3.5 shots on target and a 3% conversion — this highlights Levadia’s superiority in efficiency (1.75 vs 0.5; 10% vs 3%). Levadia’s defense concedes 0.5 goals per home game and records 50% clean sheets, while Flora concedes 2.5 goals on average away and has 0% clean sheets, which suggests Flora is more likely to concede but not necessarily score. Arguments for BTTS – Yes come from recent form: in the last 5 matches Levadia had BTTS in 100% of games and conceded 1.2 goals on average, and Flora had xG 2.01 and scored 1.0 goal per game in their last 5, indicating both teams create chances. Despite a league trend of 60% BTTS and an average of 3.27 goals per match, considering Flora’s low 0.5 away goals and Levadia’s 50% clean sheets, I assign higher probability to No Goal (60%) versus Goal/Goal (40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Levadia has an attacking xG of 2.09 and xG conceded of 1.36, Flora has attacking xG of 1.91 and xG conceded of 1.16; averaging these values yields 1.63 goals for the home side and 1.64 for the visitors, totaling 3.27. Season averages show Levadia scores 1.75 goals at home, while Flora only 0.50 away, however Flora generates xG 1.91 with a low shot conversion rate of 3% (versus Levadia's 10%), which indicates potential for improvement in converting xG to goals. Over/under stats indicate Levadia at home have 75% of matches over 1.5 goals, Flora away 100%; both teams have 50% of matches over 2.5 this season, while the league average for over 2.5 is 63%. The expected 3.27 goals and Levadia’s form (last 5 matches: 9 scored and 6 conceded, averaging 1.8–1.2) push the probability for Over 2.5 to roughly 68%, Over 1.5 I assess at about 92%, and Over 3.5 around 34% due to Levadia’s 0% this season for >3.5 and Flora’s 50%. Therefore the best value to play is Over 2.5 — this is the strongest signal derived from xG=3.27, the league average 63% and the home side’s recent form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics clearly favor Tallinna FC Levadia: the hosts score an average of 1.75 goals per match versus 0.5 for Tallinna FC Flora, have a 75% win rate and average 2.25 points per game compared to 0.0 for the visitors. At half-time Levadia averages 0.75 goals while Flora averages 0.0; the hosts led at the break in 50% of matches and the visitors in 0%, which is a strong signal for a Levadia lead after 45 minutes. Additionally Levadia is more efficient in finishing chances: shot conversion 10% versus 3% for Flora, average xG 2.09 vs 1.91 and 4.5 shots on target versus 3.5 indicate that similar xG yields more goals for the hosts. Overall the hosts won 75% of season matches while Flora recorded no wins (0%), with average goals conceded 0.5 for Levadia versus 2.5 for the visitors, so the scenario of taking the lead and seeing out the win is highly likely. On this basis I recommend HT/FT 1/1 as the main pick (60% probability), with alternatives X/1 (20%) and X/X (8%) as less likely scenarios.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.33 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Levadia is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.17 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tallinna FC Levadia 1 - 1 - 2 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 4:0 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 1, Tallinna FC Flora won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 1.83 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.33. The Meistriliiga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 33% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Tallinna FC Flora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.