Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia play Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 8 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Vaprus 65%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 74%, Vaprus 65%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.14. Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8 shots per match, Vaprus: 8.4.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26. Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-1-1. Average goals 4.40, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Tallinna FC Levadia at home has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.0 goal per match, and its home xG is 2.18 versus 0.99 xG for opponents. Vaprus away has 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (all away matches lost), concedes an average of 4.5 goals per match and has an average xG of 0.87, which clearly indicates defensive issues. Levadia generates significantly more chances: 18.67 shots and 5.33 on target per home match versus 6 shots and 2.5 on target for Vaprus away; despite the visitors’ higher conversion rate (17% vs 9%), the volume of attempts and xG favor the hosts. In the last 5 matches Levadia scored 10 goals and averages 1.8 points per match, while Vaprus conceded 14 goals and averages 1.2 points per match, therefore I assess the hosts’ chances as markedly higher.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.2 pts / match - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 84% better for: goals scored per match.
2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.4 goals / match - Vaprus
Tallinna FC Levadia is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.9 goals / match - Vaprus
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under — Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.25 pts / match - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 66% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tallinna FC Levadia 3 - 1 - 1 Vaprus. Average goals 4.40, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 2:1 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Vaprus?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 3, Vaprus won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.58 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.40. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 65% of Vaprus's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Vaprus 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Vaprus — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.