Tammeka vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Tammeka vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tammeka: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kuressaare: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.10 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.10 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 50%, Kuressaare 60%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 60%, Kuressaare 70%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Tammeka has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.46. Tammeka: 13.7 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.3.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 76-90+ (3 goals). Kuressaare: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win for Tammeka (1). At home Tammeka averages 1.25 goals with 8 shots and 3.5 shots on target per match, converting at 16%, while Kuressaare away averages only 0.8 goals from 11.8 shots and 4 on target with a low conversion of 7%. The visitors generate higher xG per match (1.48 vs 1.01 for Tammeka), indicating better chance creation but poor finishing (0.8 goals from xG 1.48). Both teams are defensively vulnerable — Tammeka concedes 2.0 goals at home on average, Kuressaare 2.2 away, and in the last 5 matches Tammeka’s goal balance is 3-7 while Kuressaare’s is 7-8 (PPG 0.8 vs 1.2). Given the hosts’ superior finishing efficiency and the higher share of clean-sheet-less games for the visitors (FTS 40% vs 25%), I favour a narrow Tammeka victory, although I expect an open, goalful match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long metrics strongly support BTTS - Yes: Tammeka and Kuressaare both have 60% BTTS while the league average is 56%. Neither side has a clean sheet this season (0%) and they concede on average 1.6 (Tammeka) and 2.2 (Kuressaare) goals per game, with xG against of 2.05 and 2.44 respectively, indicating clear defensive vulnerabilities. In the last 5 matches Kuressaare posts 80% BTTS and scored 7 goals (1.4 avg), whereas Tammeka has 40% BTTS and scored 3 goals (0.6 avg), so the visitors are particularly sharp in attack. xG for both is similar (1.43 for Tammeka vs 1.48 for Kuressaare) with 5.0 and 4.0 shots on target, and Tammeka converts better (13% vs 7%), which further increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on this I assess BTTS at 70% (Yes) vs 30% (No) and recommend a "yes" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have similar attacking potential: home xG 1.43 and away xG 1.48, giving a combined xG of 2.91 which implies about 2.9 expected goals. Kuressaare defends poorly away (xG against 2.44) while Tammeka concedes on average 2.05 xG, so I project 1.30 goals for Tammeka and 1.60 for Kuressaare (total 2.90). Seasonally, Over 1.5 occurred in 60% of Tammeka’s matches and 100% of Kuressaare’s, and Over 2.5 in 60% and 80% respectively (league 68%); additionally both teams scored in 60% of games, supporting a scenario of at least two goals. Based on this I assign 85% probability to Over 1.5, 68% to Over 2.5 and 28% to Over 3.5; the best and strongest market to play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tammeka led at the break in 2 of 5 home matches (40%), while Kuressaare did not lead in any of their 5 away matches (0%); hosts average 0.6 goals by half-time versus visitors’ 0.2. Over the full match Tammeka scores 1.4 and concedes 1.6 on average, Kuressaare have 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded; with almost equal xG (1.43 vs 1.48) Tammeka’s higher finishing efficiency is decisive (13% vs 7%). Kuressaare allow more chances (xG against 2.44 vs 2.05 for the hosts) and concede more late goals (3 conceded in minutes 76–90 away vs 2 for Tammeka), which reduces their prospects for a turnaround. Considering the hosts’ 40% rate of leading at the break, superior conversion and a BTTS rate of 60% for both teams, the most likely Half-Time/Full-Time scenario is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kuressaare is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.2 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tammeka is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.9 goals / match - Kuressaare
Tammeka scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kuressaare is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / match - Tammeka · 0.9 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.30 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tammeka 3 - 0 - 2 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 1:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Kuressaare?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 3, Kuressaare won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Tammeka score 1.10 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.10. The Meistriliiga average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 60% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Tammeka and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tammeka vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.