Estonia - MeistriliigaTamme staadionData current as of 18 September 2026

Tammeka vs Nõmme Kalju: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tammeka vs Nõmme Kalju: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tammeka play Nõmme Kalju in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion.

Current form

Tammeka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Nõmme Kalju: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tammeka scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Nõmme Kalju scores 1.75 and concedes 0.93. League average: 3.13 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tammeka 46%, Nõmme Kalju 54%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 54%, Nõmme Kalju 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Nõmme Kalju has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.56. Tammeka: 13.3 shots per match, Nõmme Kalju: 15.8.

Match halves

Tammeka: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68. Nõmme Kalju: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Tammeka: 16-30 (9 goals). Nõmme Kalju: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-5. Average goals 3.14, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.29Goals scored / match1.75
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.57Goals conceded / match0.93
TammekaNõmme Kalju
50%Average possession52%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
4.57Shots on target / match5.43
TammekaNõmme Kalju

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.25Shots per match15.75
TammekaNõmme Kalju
4.57Shots on target5.43
TammekaNõmme Kalju
9.7%Shot conversion11.1%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
50%Possession52%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.56xG for1.87
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.62xG against1.43
TammekaNõmme Kalju

Shooting quality

Tammeka: BalancedNõmme Kalju: Attacking
TammekaNõmme Kalju
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tammeka is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Tammeka · 0.6 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tammeka
LWLWL
Season result split
50% W7% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-12
1.57 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-5
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Nõmme Kalju
LLLLW
Season result split
50% W18% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-5-9
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme Kalju is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.75 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju

Nõmme Kalju is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Tammeka · 0.93 goals / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tammeka scoring profile: strong

Tammeka scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

36Goals scored (season)49
TammekaNõmme Kalju
44Goals conceded (season)26
TammekaNõmme Kalju
2.86Average goals in match2.68
TammekaNõmme Kalju
7Goals scored (last 5)6
TammekaNõmme Kalju
12Goals conceded (last 5)8
TammekaNõmme Kalju

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
39%2 goals43%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
18%3 goals21%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
0%4 goals11%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal64%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
36%2 goals21%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
25%3 goals7%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
14%4 goals0%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time14%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
4%BTTS in both halves0%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
25%Scored in both halves29%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
40%BTTS - last 560%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
32%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.82 pts / match - Nõmme Kalju

Tammeka - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing
Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
50% leading32% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per match (1st half)1.82
TammekaNõmme Kalju
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.96
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.07Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.68Average goals (1st half)1.36
TammekaNõmme Kalju
39%Clean sheet before half-time71%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
57%No goal before half-time43%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1.5
TammekaNõmme Kalju
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
TammekaNõmme Kalju
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.54
TammekaNõmme Kalju
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.32
TammekaNõmme Kalju
64%Clean sheet after half-time57%
TammekaNõmme Kalju
46%No goal after half-time43%
TammekaNõmme Kalju

Tammeka - second-half results

43% W36% D21% L
30
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding238%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

39% W32% D29% L
51
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Nõmme Kalju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
9
14
16-30
8
11
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
11
7
16-30
10
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
11
4
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TammekaLigaNõmme Kalju
Average goals in match 2.863.13 2.68
Both teams scored 46%57% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%65% 46%
Clean sheets 32%23% 36%
Goal before half-time 71%77% 71%
Goal after half-time 75%88% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): Tammeka 1 - 1 - 5 Nõmme Kalju. Average goals 3.14, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Nõmme Kalju
5 : 1
Tammeka
Nõmme Kalju
1 : 2
Tammeka
Tammeka
0 : 1
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju FC
2 : 1
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Nõmme Kalju FC
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 1
Nõmme Kalju FC
Nõmme Kalju FC
2 : 2
JK Tammeka Tartu

FAQ

When do Tammeka and Nõmme Kalju play?

Tammeka face Nõmme Kalju on 20 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Tamme staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Nõmme Kalju?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 1, Nõmme Kalju won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Nõmme Kalju?

Tammeka score 1.29 goals per game on average and Nõmme Kalju 1.75. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Tammeka's matches and 54% of Nõmme Kalju's.

What form are Tammeka and Nõmme Kalju in?

Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Nõmme Kalju 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Nõmme Kalju?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.