Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics
Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Tallinna FC Flora in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tammeka: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Flora: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 67%, Tallinna FC Flora 0%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 67%, Tallinna FC Flora 33%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.32. Tammeka: 10.7 shots per match, Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 16-30 (2 goals). Tallinna FC Flora: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a win for Tallinna FC Flora (2). The visitors generate significantly more chances: on average 15 shots and 2 shots on target per away match with xG 1.9, whereas Tammeka at home averages 4 shots, records no shots on target and has xG only 0.53. Flora also controls the game better in possession (68% vs 50%) and although they concede on average 2 goals away versus Tammeka conceding 1 at home, the advantage in chance creation (xG 1.9 vs 0.53) and shot volume gives Flora a tangible edge. In the last 5 matches both teams have 2 wins and average 1.2 points per game, but Tammeka struggles with efficiency at home — in 100% of home matches they failed to score, which limits their prospects. Based on this, I assess Flora’s probability at 60%, draw 20% and the home win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes at 60% (vs 40% for No) because both teams create and concede scoring opportunities: Tammeka has xG_for 2.05 versus Flora’s 1.90, with xG_against 1.49 and 1.19 respectively, indicating an exchange of chances. In the last 5 matches Tammeka scored 8 and conceded 8 (avg 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded), while Flora scored 7 and conceded 7 (1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded), so both sides have been regularly finding the net and allowing goals in recent fixtures. The league also records a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% and an average of 3.4 goals per match, and shot stats show 4.0 shots on target for Tammeka versus 2.0 for Flora, which increases the likelihood of goals from both teams. Counter signals are the season-long 0% BTTS for both clubs and 50% clean sheets for Tammeka this season, but given the xG and form from the last 5 matches (home team 60% BTTS, away team 40% BTTS), the Yes variant appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, expected goals are approximately 1.62 for Tammeka ((2.05+1.19)/2) and 1.70 for Tallinna FC Flora ((1.90+1.49)/2), yielding a total of 3.32 goals. In the last 5 matches Tammeka averaged 1.6 goals, Flora 1.4 (3.0 combined), while the league averages 3.4 goals per game and 67% of matches finish Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, Tammeka averages 18 shots and 4 on target per match versus Flora’s 15 and 2, and the teams’ seasonal xG of 2.05 and 1.90 indicate a high volume of scoring opportunities. Season-long BTTS is 0% for both sides, but in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of hosts’ games and 40% for guests, so goals from both sides are not excluded. Given the projected 3.32 goals and strong over-2.5 indicators (67% league rate and 60% form), the strongest signal is to play Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tammeka averages 1.5 goals per home match and 1.0 goals before the break, and led at the break in 50% of games (scoredAVGHT_home 1.0, leadingAtHTPercentage_home 50.0), which increases the likelihood of holding a lead after 45 minutes. Tallinna FC Flora away have seasonScoredAVG_away 0.0 with a 100% loss rate (losePercentage_away 100.0), a conversion rate of 0.0 and only 2 shots on target per game (shot_conversion_rate_away 0.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away 2.0), so it is unlikely they will score before half-time. Tammeka generates higher xG (2.05 vs 1.90), more shots (18 vs 15) and more shots on target (4 vs 2), indicating superiority in chance creation and finishing. The last-five matches trend confirms the home advantage: Tammeka led at the break in 60% of games and scored 11 goals before half-time versus 7 for the visitors (last5_leadingAtHT_overall_home 60.0, last5_GoalsHT_overall_home 11.0). For these reasons the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1 (43%), with alternatives X/1 (21%) and X/X (11%) as less likely variants.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tammeka is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Tammeka · 1 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tallinna FC Flora is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Tammeka · 1 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora
Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Tallinna FC Flora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Tallinna FC Flora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.24 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 88% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tammeka 0 - 0 - 4 Tallinna FC Flora. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 3:1 Tallinna FC Flora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Tallinna FC Flora?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 0, Tallinna FC Flora won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora?
Tammeka score 1.67 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Flora 1.00. The Meistriliiga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Tammeka's matches and 0% of Tallinna FC Flora's.
What form are Tammeka and Tallinna FC Flora in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Flora 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.