Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tammeka: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.29 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.14 and concedes 0.86. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 57%, Tallinna FC Levadia 71%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 71%, Tallinna FC Levadia 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.52. Tammeka: 12.6 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 16.6.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 16-30 (2 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favourite is Tallinna FC Levadia: they sit 3rd in the table vs Tammeka’s 8th and have a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses this season, while Tammeka have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. Levadia generate an average xG 2.46 per match and produce 20 shots with 6.5 on target, versus the hosts’ xG 1.09, 8.33 shots and 4 on target, which clearly favors the visitors in chance creation and quality. Defensively Levadia concede 1 goal per game on the road on average, while Tammeka concede 2 goals at home and have shipped 10 goals in the last 5 matches, indicating serious defensive issues for the hosts. Additionally Tammeka have failed to score in 33% of home matches, whereas Levadia have 0% away games without a goal and have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches; points per game in the last 5 matches are 1.8 for the visitors vs 1.4 for the hosts. Considering these numbers (xG 2.46 vs 1.09, 20 vs 8.33 shots, 1 vs 2 average goals conceded), I back the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS indicators are clear: Tammeka has BTTS at 60% this season, while Tallinna FC Levadia is at 100%, and in the last 5 matches respectively 60% and 80%. Offensively both teams create chances — season xG is 1.89 for Tammeka and 2.46 for Levadia, average shots 15.4 vs 20.0 with 5.2 vs 6.5 shots on target, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Defensively Tammeka has conceded an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches (10 conceded), whereas Levadia conceded 1.0 goal (5 conceded) and has no clean sheets this season (0% CS). Additionally the league average goals is 3.11 and season BTTS is 56%, so combining these figures I assess BTTS at approximately 82% vs 18% and recommend the selection "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG is 1.89 (Tammeka) and 2.46 (Levadia), which when averaged with the opponent’s defensive figures yields an expected 1.48 goals for the home side and 1.71 for the visitors (total 3.19). Both teams have 100% of matches with at least 2 goals this season (seasonOver15 100% for both), while BTTS is 60% for Tammeka and 100% for Levadia, so both sides regularly score. Levadia averages 6.5 shots on target and 20.0 shots per match with a 10% conversion rate, while Tammeka averages 5.2 on target and 15.4 total with a 14% conversion, confirming a high number of scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Tammeka’s games and 60% of Levadia’s, and the league goals average is 3.11, so the strongest signal from the data is an over 1.5 bet (recommended), with a relatively high probability also for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tammeka led at the break in 3 of 5 matches (60.0%) and averaged 1.0 goal by half-time versus Levadia’s 0.5 (scoredAVGHT_home 1.0 vs scoredAVGHT_away 0.5), which strongly indicates a home lead at the break. Over the full match the goal averages are similar (2.2 for Tammeka vs 2.0 for Levadia), but Levadia produces noticeably higher xG (2.46 vs 1.89) and more shots (20.0 vs 15.4, 6.5 vs 5.2 on target), so they have a real chance of a turnaround after the break. In the second half the away side scores on average 1.5 goals versus 1.2 for the home side (scored_2hg_avg_away 1.5 vs scored_2hg_avg_home 1.2), and both teams have 100% of matches with goals after the break, which increases the likelihood of an equalizer. Overall the strongest signal is 1/1: Tammeka leading at half-time (60%) and their better shot conversion 14% versus Levadia’s 10% and lower season average goals conceded 0.8 vs 1.0 argue for a home win, although the 1/X option remains a close alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.8 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Tammeka · 2.14 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Tammeka · 0.86 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tammeka scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 116% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.86 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.19 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Tammeka 0 - 1 - 3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 1:2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Tammeka score 1.29 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.14. The Meistriliiga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Tammeka's matches and 71% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Tammeka and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.