Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tampa Bay Rowdies play Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Al Lang Stadium. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.56 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%, Lexington 64%. Over 2.5: Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%, Lexington 64%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.43. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 16.0 shots per match, Lexington: 12.2.
Match halves
Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.75. Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (9 goals). Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Tampa Bay Rowdies are the favorites based on the data: at home they average 2.0 goals per game (23 home goals this season) with an average xG of 1.86 while conceding only 0.86 goals, whereas Lexington on the road score an average of 1.17 goals (17 total) with xG 1.39 and concede 1.50 goals. The difference in chance creation and quality is clear: the hosts average 16.57 shots and 5.86 on target per home game with a 12% conversion rate, while the visitors have 11.83 shots and 3.67 on target with a 10% conversion, giving the home side an advantage in both volume and quality of chances. In the last five matches both teams have scored 8 goals each, but Tampa Bay averages 2.0 points per game in that period (3 wins) versus Lexington’s 1.6 points (2 wins), indicating greater result efficiency for the hosts. Defensively the picture also favors the Rowdies: 43% of home matches end in a clean sheet and the hosts lose only 14% of home games while winning 57%, whereas Lexington have 17% clean sheets on the road, lose 50% of away matches and win only 17% of away games, additionally failing to score in 33% of away fixtures. Considering the superiority in number and quality of chances, better points efficiency over the last 5 matches and a more stable home defense, I tip Tampa Bay to win (1).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.8 pts / match - Lexington
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.43 goals / match - Lexington
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under — Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.36 pts / match - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tampa Bay Rowdies 0 - 1 - 0 Lexington. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 Lexington. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.56 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?
The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.