Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tampa Bay Rowdies played Miami FC II in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Al Lang Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Miami FC II: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.73 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Miami FC II scores 1.33 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%, Miami FC II 56%. Over 2.5: Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%, Miami FC II 56%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Tampa Bay Rowdies has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.34. Tampa Bay Rowdies: 15.0 shots per match, Miami FC II: 11.4.
Match halves
Tampa Bay Rowdies: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Miami FC II: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Tampa Bay Rowdies: 76-90+ (16 goals). Miami FC II: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 5-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st in the table and win 67% of their home matches, while 20th-placed Miami FC II win 21% of their away games. The hosts average 2.33 goals and 6.08 shots on target per match at home; the visitors score just 0.86 goals away and fail to find the net in half of those matches. Tampa Bay’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 1.95, while Miami concede chances worth an average xG of 1.67 away from home. Both teams have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, but the hosts have conceded just 3 in that period, compared with 9 by the visitors. This defensive gap, combined with Tampa Bay’s significantly more effective home form, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is the visitors’ lack of scoring efficiency: Miami FC II failed to score in 50% of its matches, and its season average is just 0.86 goals compared with Tampa Bay Rowdies’ 1.67. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of their matches this season, but have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5 games, increasing the risk that the visitors fail to score. On the other hand, BTTS - Yes landed in 67% of Tampa Bay’s matches and 43% of Miami’s, so a Goal/Goal outcome cannot be ruled out. Despite this uncertainty, Miami’s weaker scoring record and the hosts’ recent defensive improvement give a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 83% of Tampa Bay Rowdies matches and 71% of Miami FC II matches, providing a strong basis for selecting Over 1.5 goals. The home side averages 1.67 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.50, so Tampa should contribute the most to the projected total of 2.69 goals. Miami averages only 0.86 goals and failed to score in 50% of its matches, making the 2.5-goal line less reliable. Additionally, Tampa conceded a total of 3 goals in its last 5 appearances, compared with 9 for Miami, strengthening expectations of goals from the home side but offering less support for the higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely, as Miami FC II were level at the break in 10 of 14 matches, while Tampa Bay Rowdies were level in 2 of their last 5. The case for a home win is supported by their higher average goals scored this season — 1.67 compared with the visitors’ 0.86 — as well as their xG advantage: 1.46 to 1.22. In their last 5 matches, Tampa Bay conceded an average of 0.6 goals, compared with 1.8 for Miami, strengthening the hosts’ chances of winning. The likelihood of the match being decided after half-time is also supported by second-half averages: Tampa Bay scored 0.91 goals after the break, while Miami conceded 0.86. However, the X/1 pick is not a clear-cut one, as the hosts have conceded an average of 1.83 goals per match over the season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Miami FC II is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 2.2 pts / match - Miami FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.33 goals / match - Miami FC II
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.63 goals / match - Miami FC II
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Miami FC II scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 54% (14 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Miami FC II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.19 pts / match - Miami FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Miami FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Miami FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tampa Bay Rowdies 5 - 0 - 0 Miami FC II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2 Miami FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay Rowdies won 5, Miami FC II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.73 goals per game on average and Miami FC II 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 56% of Miami FC II's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Miami FC II 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.